$ETH market reacting to renewed volatility. Here’s what is actually being priced right now.

In the last 24h:

• Price: sharp move with increased intraday volatility

• Volume: rising compared to previous sessions

• Context: positioning shifting ahead of key macro & on-chain signals

This move looks driven more by positioning and expectations than by a single fundamental catalyst.

Spot demand is present, but derivatives activity suggests traders are front-running the next narrative rather than reacting to confirmed data.

Bull case:

Holding above the current range keeps momentum intact and allows continuation toward higher liquidity zones.

Bear case:

Failure to hold this level likely triggers a positioning reset and short-term downside volatility.

Invalidation:

A clean breakdown below the recent support shifts the structure back to neutral.

Market is trading expectations and positioning, not certainty.

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