$TAKE 📉 BIAS: SHORT

Why I’m Taking This Trade

This is not a “top call” — it’s a structural exhaustion setup.

Price is up 142% in 48 hours. Funding just spiked to 0.134% — longs are now paying exorbitant fees to stay in. That’s not conviction; that’s desperation.

🧠 Higher Timeframe Context (4H)

4H trend is still bullish, yes. But momentum divergence is screaming:

RSI made lower highs while price made higher highs. MACD histogram is rolling over from extreme levels.

The last three funding periods averaged 0.092% — a clear blow-off top signature.

⏳ Lower Timeframe Execution (15m/1H)

Price is compressing under 0.04900, rejecting the daily high twice.

Order book shows 63% of liquidity on the ask side — sellers are aggressively defending 0.049.

Volume is collapsing (147M → 8M) — the buying frenzy is over.

StochRSI crossed down from 95 — momentum shift confirmed.

🔥 Entry Zone: 0.04890 – 0.04920

I want to short into the final liquidity grab before the breakdown.

A retest of the overnight range high + ask wall is my trigger.

🛑 Stop Loss: 0.05010

Above the 24h high (0.04988) + a small buffer. If price clears that, my thesis is invalid. Clean.

🎯 Take Profit Levels

TP1: 0.04500 (Bollinger MB + first demand zone)

TP2: 0.04000 (psychological round + pre‑pump base)

TP3: 0.03550 (previous 4H consolidation)

📊 R:R: 1 : 3.0 (0.04900 entry, 0.05010 stop, TP2)

⚠️ Invalidation

4H candle closes above 0.05010. That traps me. Until then, this is a high‑probability mean reversion against euphoria.

💣 Psychology

Retail sees +142% and buys the top, convinced it’s “the next 10x.”

They ignore drying volume, negative divergence, and shorts paying zero while longs bleed funding.

Smart money is feeding them the ask. The moment bids evaporate, this unwinds fast.

This isn’t hate. It’s structural edge. 🔥