The crypto world is divided. After Bitcoin’s sharp 50% drawdown from its $126K peak in late 2025, the "Supercycle" believers are quiet, but the veteran chart-watchers are waking up.
The Golden Line in the Sand
History doesn’t repeat, but it often rhymes. Every major market bottom in Bitcoin's history has centered around one technical titan: the 200-week Moving Average (MA). Currently, we are seeing BTC flirt with this critical level near $67,000 - $68,000.
The Bear Case: A weekly close below this line could signal a deeper slide toward the $60K "liquidity trap" zone.
The Bull Case: This has historically been the "generational bottom." Smart money isn't selling here; they are accumulating. With Goldman Sachs still holding over $1B in Bitcoin ETFs despite the volatility, the institutional appetite hasn't vanished—it’s just getting a discount.
The Verdict? We are at the dividing line between panic and opportunity. While the "Bloody Bath" headlines dominate the feed, the 200-week MA suggests the bottom might be closer than the bears want you to believe.
💡 Strategist’s Note: Volatility is a gift for those prepared. Whether you're looking to hedge your position or catch the rebound, timing is everything.
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