What Market Rebounds Actually Look Like (Not Just Green Candles)
A few green candles appear and suddenly the timeline fills up with "we're back" posts. I get it—after days of red, seeing green feels like drinking water in a desert.
But rebounds are rarely straight lines. They move in stages. If you don't recognize the stage, you'll buy the local top or exit right before the real move.
Why This Rebound Feels Different
Look at the numbers (steady, not crazy):
$BTC +1.4%
$ETH +1.5%
$SOL +3.6%
What's interesting isn't the size of the move—it's the skepticism. Scroll the comments and you'll see: "Is this a dead cat bounce?" or "Waiting for the retest." That doubt is actually a bullish sign. Real tops happen when everyone is confident. Real bottoms happen when everyone is unsure.
What's Happening Under The Surface
Volume is thinning: This bounce is mostly retail and short covering. The real test is when institutional money decides to step back in.
Selective Accumulation: Money is shifting between projects rather than flooding the whole market. It's quiet and boring—exactly what accumulation looks like.
Sentiment is healing: The Fear & Greed Index moved from "Extreme Fear" to "Neutral" quietly. That’s how durable rebounds start.
Where We Are Now
We are between Stage 1 (The Bounce) and Stage 2 (The Stall).
If it's fake: Price drops immediately from here.
If it's real: Price holds, drifts sideways for a few days, builds a base, and then moves higher.
What to Watch in the Next 48 Hours
BTC at $64k: If we hold this range, support is forming. If we drop below $62k, the retest comes early.
Volume Spike: Quiet markets turn fast. Watch for a sudden spike—that’s the wake-up call.
Rebounds are mentally harder than bear markets because of the uncertainty. Stay disciplined.
