🚨 BTC/USDT 4H — Capitulation Low In or Dead Cat Bounce?
Bitcoin just printed a violent selloff followed by an aggressive bounce.
✔️ Strong downside expansion
✔️ High-volume flush
✔️ Sharp V-shaped recovery
Now price is stabilizing under resistance.
The big question:
Is this accumulation starting… or just relief before another leg down?
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📊 What The Chart Shows
• Clear 4H downtrend structure
• Expansion candle into heavy volume (possible selling climax)
• Immediate strong bounce = short covering
• Current price sitting below breakdown structure
Trend is still bearish until proven otherwise.
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🎯 Trade Scenarios
🟢 Long Scenario (If Higher Low Forms)
If BTC holds above the recent low and builds structure:
Entry:Pullback into 70,000–70,200
Invalidation:Break below 69,800
Target 1:71,000
Target 2:71,800
Confirmation needed: Higher low + 4H close above local resistance.
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🔴 Short Scenario (Continuation Play)
If price rejects around current resistance:
Entry:70,900–71,100 rejection
Invalidation:Strong 4H close above 71,500
Target 1:70,000
Target 2:Sweep of recent low
This aligns with the dominant 4H downtrend.
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🧠 My Bias?
Still bearish until structure flips.
This looks like a reaction move — not confirmed reversal yet.
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Are you fading the bounce or positioning for recovery?
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