#CPIWatch BTC Tests Historic Cycle Structure — Regime Shift or Same Script?

BTC is approaching a critical structural inflection zone that mirrors previous macro cycles.

According to EGRAG’s framework, three key levels determine whether this cycle breaks historical structure:

🔹 Close above $74K — breakout trigger

🔹 Hold above ~$60K (Feb 6 low) — structural floor

🔹 Close above 100 EMA near $87K — regime confirmation

Right now, BTC sits between confirmation and repetition.

Failure to reclaim $74K leaves upside attempts unconfirmed.

Loss of ~$60K would materially weaken structure.

Rejection below $87K (100 EMA) keeps the macro cycle aligned with prior patterns.

Technically, nothing has changed yet — price is positioning within the range.

This isn’t about narrative. It’s about confirmation.

Above $74K → deviation scenario opens.

Above $87K → structural break confirmed.

Until then, BTC remains inside historical cycle behavior.

This is a decision zone.