i think the real strategy is actually a different one. they assume the banks where they take loans will go bankrupt and their btcs.. were for free.

MicroStrategy claims it can cover its $6 billion debt even if Bitcoin drops 90% to $8,000, where its Bitcoin holdings roughly match liabilities. Below that level, financial stress escalates due to loan covenants, potential forced sales, and insolvency risks.
Debt Coverage at $8,000 BTC
At $8,000 per Bitcoin, MicroStrategy's assets (around $49.3 billion in BTC reserves at current prices) equal its net debt, leaving equity at zero but allowing debt service without liquidation. Staggered convertible note maturities through 2032 provide time for restructuring or refinancing. CEO Phong Le noted this scenario would unfold gradually, enabling options like new equity issuance.
Risks Below $8,000
Drops to $7,000 breach loan-to-value covenants on BTC-collateralized loans, potentially requiring extra collateral or repayments, with LTV exceeding 140%. Cash reserves (about $2.25 billion) and $500 million annual software revenue may not suffice amid illiquid markets, risking forced Bitcoin sales that could worsen price declines. Survival hinges on decline speed, debt structure, and liquidity access.
Insolvency Thresholds
At $6,000 $BTC , assets fall below debt, raising restructuring likelihood via debt-for-equity swaps or maturity extensions; equity holders face wipeout risks. Below $5,000, secured lenders could trigger liquidations, impairing unsecured debt and causing market ripples for ETFs and traders. As a top BTC holder (over 700,000 coins), such events could amplify crypto volatility. #strategy