The United States and Iran are set to enter another round of nuclear negotiations on Tuesday, 17 February 2026, in Geneva, with Oman acting as mediator. The indirect talks will center on Iran’s nuclear program and the potential path toward sanctions relief, a development global markets are watching closely.
If talks break down:
Oil could spike on renewed supply fears and rising geopolitical tension. Expect higher volatility across energy markets, a possible uptick in inflation expectations, and short-term pressure on risk assets like equities and crypto, including $BTC .
If talks progress positively:
Oil prices may ease as supply risks fade, volatility could cool, inflation expectations might soften, and broader risk assets, from stocks to crypto, could see relief rallies.
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#Macro Insights#