📊 Inflation Data Drops This Week ,Will Bitcoin Feel the Heat?
If you thought the market was quiet today, enjoy the calm while it lasts. 🌅
U.S. markets are closed Monday for Presidents' Day, which means volume is light and price action is sleepy. But don't get too comfortable because later this week, the fireworks start 🎆
🗓️ Two Big Numbers. One Big Question.
All eyes are on two major macro releases that could shake things up:
🔹 Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) the Fed's favorite inflation gauge
🔹 Q4 U.S. GDP the final read on how the economy closed out the year
PCE is the real headliner here. Why? Because this is what the Federal Reserve actually watches when making rate decisions not CPI, not PPI. PCE.
And it's dropping at a sensitive moment 🎯
What's the Market Pricing In?
Here's where it gets interesting:
Recent CPI data came in softer than expected, giving risk assets a little boost. But markets aren't stupid according to CME Group data, traders still see a very low probability of rate cuts at the March FOMC meeting.
Translation: One hot inflation print could spook everyone. Again. 😬
🌍 It's Not Just Inflation
As if macro wasn't enough to worry about...
Geopolitical tensions remain elevated.
Uncertainty is everywhere. And when you mix:
- Fragile risk sentiment
- Data-dependent Fed
- Global instability
...you get the perfect recipe for sharp, violent moves across all risk assets including crypto. 🔪
🚨 So, What Should You Watch?
- PCE hotter than expected? → Dollar up, risk down. Bitcoin could feel the pinch.
- PCE cooler than expected? → Rate cut hopes might return. Crypto rallies? Possibly.
- GDP revision surprises? → Same story, different data point.
The bottom line: Wednesday and Thursday could get spicy 🌶️
Are you positioned for volatility or sitting in cash waiting for direction?
Drop your game plan below 🤑
DYOR #CPIWatch