🚨 THE QUANTUM THREAT TO BITCOIN IS A TIMING GAME
The risk doesn’t start when quantum computers arrive.
It starts now — with “harvest now, decrypt later.”
Attackers can collect exposed public keys today and wait for future quantum machines powerful enough to break ECDSA on Bitcoin.
📊 Estimates suggest ~4M BTC (≈25% of usable supply) could be theoretically vulnerable — mainly from old or reused addresses where public keys are already exposed.
⚠️ The real danger isn’t slow damage.
It’s a sudden asymmetric shock if a credible breakthrough is announced.
🛠️ Can Bitcoin upgrade? Yes.
But migrating to post-quantum cryptography would require major coordination across wallets, nodes, exchanges, and custodians.
🌍 And it’s bigger than crypto — banking, payments, and internet security rely on the same cryptographic foundations.
📉 Markets likely aren’t pricing this tail risk.
Short term: Low risk.
Long term: Non-zero.
Impact: Potentially systemic.
Are we early… or underestimating the timeline?

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