Toll Brothers Reports Decline in Quarterly Orders Amid Economic Uncertainty

Toll Brothers Inc. — the Fortune 1000 luxury homebuilder — has reported weaker than expected new home orders for its most recent quarter, highlighting ongoing challenges in the U.S. housing market as economic uncertainty weighs on buyer demand.

According to reports, Toll Brothers’ quarterly orders fell short of analysts’ estimates, signaling that fewer prospective buyers signed contracts for new home purchases during the period. This softening in orders reflects caution among consumers amid broader economic concerns, including elevated mortgage rates and affordability pressures.

The company recently released its fiscal first-quarter results, showing a significant sequential drop in expected earnings and revenue compared with the prior quarter—a common seasonal pattern for homebuilders, but one exacerbated by what executives described as “choppy” demand. Analysts expect earnings per share of around $2.11 and revenue near $1.85 billion for the quarter ended in January, down sharply from the previous period’s results.

Toll Brothers’ strategy of targeting more affluent, less rate-sensitive buyers — such as move-up and active adult buyers — has historically helped insulate its business from downturns. However, recent trends suggest even this segment is increasingly cautious, with economic uncertainty and consumer confidence playing a larger role in purchase decisions than financing costs.

The slowdown in new orders comes amid broader signs of softness in the housing market, where higher borrowing costs and limited affordability continue to dampen demand for newly built homes across many regions of the United States.

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If you’d like, I can also summarize Toll Brothers’ full earnings numbers and outlook for the rest of 2026.