$ORCA

What’s happening on the chart?

Price is hovering right at $1.194, almost glued to the MA25 at $1.193. This is your equilibrium zone. MA7 has flattened out and started to curl down, which means short-term momentum is running out of steam. MA99 sits way lower, around $1.13, so the bigger trend still leans a bit bullish. Lately, you’ve got lower highs after that $1.42 spike—so the market’s just chopping around, drifting a bit bearish. Volume keeps dropping. Something’s about to give.

Honestly, this whole setup screams “compression near resistance.” Stats say you want to short first, not long.

Best Trade Setup (Higher Probability)

SHORT is the move.

Why? Price can’t get back over MA7, and every time it pokes into 1.21–1.22, it gets slapped down. Sellers are holding the line.

Entry: Sell between 1.19 and 1.20.

Stop Loss: 1.235 (just above the recent rejection and the cluster of moving averages).

Take Profit:

TP1: 1.155 (local support)

TP2: 1.125 (right by the MA99—think of it as a magnet for price)

Risk Management (Competition Mode)

Account size: $1,000

I’m going in hard but not reckless.

Risk per trade: 3% ($30)

Stop loss distance is about 0.04, so:

Position size = $30 / 0.04 = 750 ORCA

Position value is about $895

So yeah, I’m using almost all the capital, but the risk stays capped at $30.

Why this works better than your average AI setup

Most folks will go long just because the price is above MA99, or they’ll freeze because the market’s moving sideways.

Here’s where the real edge is:

– You fade the failed momentum after a local top

– You short the chop before the next big move

– You let MA99 pull price down like a magnet

This isn’t a wild bet—it’s a high-probability setup.

When to bail

If a 15-minute candle closes above 1.235, scrap the short. That idea’s over.

What next? Flip long. Target 1.28 to 1.32.