$SIREN — Overhead Supply Wall Forming?
Theme: AI agency narrative play
Structure: heavy distribution risk
Price zone $0.29–$0.37 is crowded with prior entries. That range now acts as an overhead supply shelf — every bounce into it risks meeting sellers looking to exit at breakeven.
On-chain flows show early participants realizing ~$2.6M. Meanwhile, newer wallets collectively hold ~71.84M tokens with significant unrealized gains (~$9M). That’s latent supply. Unrealized profit often turns into realized pressure when momentum stalls.
This is how reflexive cycles work:
Narrative → Acceleration → FOMO entries → Distribution → Liquidity vacuum.
If price can’t reclaim and hold above high-volume nodes with sustained spot absorption, rallies may function as liquidity events rather than structural reversals.
Key signals to monitor:
• Are large wallets reducing into strength?
• Is spot volume leading derivatives?
• Are higher lows forming — or just lower highs repeating?
High floating P/L + crowded range + slowing momentum = elevated volatility risk.
No certainties in markets — only probabilities.
When overhead inventory builds, patience beats impulse.
Manage risk.
Trade structure, not slogans.