BREAKING:

Traders on prediction platform Polymarket are now pricing in a significant rise in the probability of a U.S. military strike on Iran before the end of March. Odds on markets tracking “US next strikes Iran by March 31” have climbed sharply in recent weeks, reflecting increased risk sentiment among participants as diplomatic efforts falter and tensions persist. The price for “Yes” contracts has risen noticeably, signaling that a growing number of bettors see U.S. kinetic action — defined as an air, drone, or missile strike on Iranian soil or official Iranian diplomatic sites — as more likely in the coming weeks.