📉 INSTITUTIONAL HYPE FADE! Rayls ($RLS ) Faces Supply Headwinds Amid Market Fear: Short Setup! [SHORT]
⚡ TRADE EXECUTION (RLS/USDT)
📉 ENTRY ZONE: $0.0054 – $0.0062
🛑 STOP LOSS (SL): $0.0075 (Above 30-day SMA and psychological resistance)
🎯 TARGET 1: $0.0046 (Recent All-Time Low)
💰 TARGET 2: $0.0035 (Projected downside if support breaks)
🔥 WHY WE ARE SHORTING RLS
Rayls (RLS), the institutional-grade blockchain designed for bank privacy and RWA tokenization, is struggling to maintain momentum despite its high-profile partnerships as of February 18, 2026:
Extreme Market Fear: The broader cryptocurrency sentiment index has plunged to a score of 8–12, indicating "Extreme Fear" that has persisted for much of the last two weeks. This macro environment typically forces investors out of high-beta "institutional" plays and into safe havens.
Deep Bearish Structure: RLS has experienced a massive 92.37% drop from its all-time high of $0.0702 reached in December 2025. Every significant relief rally has been used as an exit point for underwater holders, reinforcing a heavy bearish trend.
Massive Vesting Overhang: A major fundamental risk is the 85% of total supply (8.5 billion tokens) that remains locked. As unlocks begin throughout 2026, the market must absorb significant sell pressure, which many analysts believe will outpace current usage-based demand.
Technical Rejection Zone: The price is currently trading below its 50-day SMA ($0.0083) and 200-day SMA ($0.0112), both of which are acting as strong overhead resistance. Technical indicators, including the Exponential Moving Averages (EMA 10, 20, 30, and 50), are all flashing "SELL" signals.
Negative Sentiment & Predictions: Analytical models project a potential -11% to -13% slide in the next few days, with the value expected to retest the all-time low of $0.0046 by late February.
