🚨 GLOBAL UNCERTAINTY INDEX AT RECORD HIGH
Higher Than 2008.
Higher Than 2020.
Higher Than 2001.
But This Time It Is Not One Crisis.
It Is Trade Friction, Geopolitical Tension, And Economic Slowdown All At Once.
Global Trade Clarity Remains Weak.
Supply Chains Stay Fragile.
Pricing Volatility Continues.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict Ongoing.
US-Iran Tensions Elevated.
China-Taiwan Risk Still Present.
Multiple Pressure Points.
Same Time.
Now Look At Growth:
US Forward Indicators Softening.
China Facing Property And Demand Challenges.
Japan Managing Yield Pressure.
Europe Struggling With Weak Expansion.
Unlike Past Cycles With One Clear Trigger,
This Phase Is A Combination Shock.
Historically, These Environments Unfold In Two Steps:
First → Volatility Rises, Liquidity Tightens, Risk Appetite Falls.
Then → Policy Response Follows.
Rate Adjustments.
Liquidity Support.
Coordinated Easing If Needed.
Near Term, High Uncertainty Pressures Risk Assets.
Longer Term, If Conditions Deteriorate,
Policy Support Often Returns.
Markets Move In Cycles.
Stay Alert. Stay Balanced.
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