Ethereum at $1,945.22. Down 2.33% today.
Let me break down what's really happening:
📊 TECHNICAL:
- MA7: $1,944 (weak support)
- MA25: $1,951 (resistance)
- MA99: $1,982 (strong resistance)
- 24h High: $2,039 (rejected)
- 24h Low: $1,923 (current support)
ETH made lower highs. Sellers active. Testing $1,920 support.
🌍 FUNDAMENTAL:
- Fed minutes release today at 2pm – HUGE for market
- ETH ETF inflows positive last 3 days ($45M)
- Whales moved 120K ETH to exchanges (selling pressure)
- Gas fees at 5 gwei (lowest in months)
- Dollar Index strong at 104.5 (bad for crypto)
🧠 MY ANALYSIS: $ETH
Two scenarios:
BULLISH: Fed dovish + BTC holds + ETH holds $1,920 → bounce to $1,980–$2,020
BEARISH: Fed hawkish + BTC breaks + ETH breaks $1,920 → drop to $1,880–$1,850
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✅ MY TRADE PLAN: $ETH
📌 LONG (IF SUPPORT HOLDS):
$1,925 – $1,940
🛑 SL: $1,900
🎯 TP1: $1,970 | TP2: $1,990 | TP3: $2,020
📌 SHORT (IF BREAKS):
$1,900 – $1,915 (after $1,920 breaks)
🛑 SL: $1,940
🎯 TP1: $1,880 | TP2: $1,860 | TP3: $1,830
📌 RISKY ENTRY (NOW):
$1,940 – $1,950 (very small size)
🛑 SL: $1,915
🎯 TP1: $1,970 | TP2: $1,990 | TP3: $2,010
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🔴 MY ACTUAL MOVE: $ETH
I'm waiting for Fed news at 2pm.
No trade before that. Too risky.
After news, if $1,920 holds → long.
If $1,920 breaks → short.
Patience > FOMO. Fed minutes decide everything today.
❌ Not financial advice. DYOR. Use stop loss.
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