Most traders don’t lose because they’re wrong, they lose because they’re early. They spot the right narrative and see structure forming, then convince themselves they’re being smart by anticipating the move, but markets don’t reward anticipation, they reward positioning after liquidity actually shifts. Being right too early feels no different from being wrong, and that pressure forces exit before the real expansion begins. Patience looks boring in real time, impatience feels productive, and by the time confirmation arrives most traders are already out.

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