BTC Reality Check — What Price Action & the 4-Year Cycle Are Saying
Ignore the noise. Zoom out to the monthly chart — Bitcoin has already completed its cycle expansion phase.
Every 4-year cycle follows the same rhythm: ➡️ Accumulation ➡️ Expansion ➡️ Distribution ➡️ Reset
Right now, price action confirms we are past expansion.
📉 What the chart is telling us
Price topped near the upper boundary of the long-term channel
Momentum has weakened on higher timeframes
Monthly candles are showing rejection, not continuation
Structure is no longer impulsive — it’s corrective
This is not how new bull cycles start.
🧭 4-Year Cycle Reality Historically:
BTC always retraces 70–85% from cycle highs
Previous high becomes future resistance
Price revisits deep value zones before the next accumulation phase
📌 High-probability downside zone: $28K – $32K This aligns with:
Macro demand
Long-term trend support
Prior cycle breakout base
🚫 What this is NOT
Not a “crash prediction”
Not bearish emotion
Not FUD
It’s simply how Bitcoin has moved every single cycle.
💡 Final thought Bull markets are born in disbelief, not during post-ATH euphoria.
Let price complete its cycle — opportunity is created in patience.
Not financial advice. Just price action & cycle data. #BTCVSGOLD #Binance #btc_cycle #WriteToEarnUpgrade #BinanceHODLerBREV #bear_market
Αποποίηση ευθυνών: Περιλαμβάνει γνώμες τρίτων. Δεν είναι οικονομική συμβουλή. Ενδέχεται να περιλαμβάνει χορηγούμενο περιεχόμενο.Δείτε τους Όρους και προϋποθέσεις.
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