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₿ BTC 2022 vs 2026 | History doesn't repeat — but it rhymes
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Look at these two charts side by side.
Left: 2022. Bitcoin topped near $48,000, rolled over, and spent months grinding lower through every support level. BrainWaves peaked deep in overbought, crossed down through zero, and kept falling. The market looked "fine" — until it wasn't. It eventually bottomed near $18,000. A -62% decline from the top.
Right: 2026. Bitcoin topped near $109,000, rolled over, and has spent weeks grinding lower through every support level. BrainWaves peaked deep in overbought, crossed down through zero, and is still falling. The structure is identical. The pattern is identical. Even the momentum signature is identical.
What made 2022 so brutal wasn't the first drop. It was the dead cat bounces.
Every relief rally looked like recovery. Every green week brought buyers back in. And then another leg lower wiped them out. The real damage was done to people who bought the dip too early — not to those who waited.
We're not calling a 2022 repeat. Markets rarely copy-paste perfectly. Macro conditions are different, institutional participation is different, the cycle context is different.
But the structure right now deserves respect. Three Black Crows confirmed on the Monthly. All 9 timeframes bearish. BrainWaves still falling with room to go lower. No reversal signal anywhere on the higher timeframes.
The playbook from 2022 was simple: don't fight the trend, wait for exhaustion, short the bounces, buy only when structure confirms — not when price looks cheap.
That playbook is still open.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Brainer
Powered by Brainer ⚡
Look at these two charts side by side.
Left: 2022. Bitcoin topped near $48,000, rolled over, and spent months grinding lower through every support level. BrainWaves peaked deep in overbought, crossed down through zero, and kept falling. The market looked "fine" — until it wasn't. It eventually bottomed near $18,000. A -62% decline from the top.
Right: 2026. Bitcoin topped near $109,000, rolled over, and has spent weeks grinding lower through every support level. BrainWaves peaked deep in overbought, crossed down through zero, and is still falling. The structure is identical. The pattern is identical. Even the momentum signature is identical.
What made 2022 so brutal wasn't the first drop. It was the dead cat bounces.
Every relief rally looked like recovery. Every green week brought buyers back in. And then another leg lower wiped them out. The real damage was done to people who bought the dip too early — not to those who waited.
We're not calling a 2022 repeat. Markets rarely copy-paste perfectly. Macro conditions are different, institutional participation is different, the cycle context is different.
But the structure right now deserves respect. Three Black Crows confirmed on the Monthly. All 9 timeframes bearish. BrainWaves still falling with room to go lower. No reversal signal anywhere on the higher timeframes.
The playbook from 2022 was simple: don't fight the trend, wait for exhaustion, short the bounces, buy only when structure confirms — not when price looks cheap.
That playbook is still open.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Brainer
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