$ETH ETHEREUM $1,250 TARGET? PREDICTION MARKETS FLASH WARNING
Ethereum downside bets are heating up.
On Kalshi, traders are now pricing nearly a 50% probability that ETH drops to $1,250 this year, with roughly 30% odds of a slide below $1,000. That’s not fringe speculation — that’s a meaningful chunk of capital positioning for deeper weakness in 2026.
Prediction markets don’t predict the future — but they do reflect crowd expectations in real time. When odds shift this aggressively toward downside scenarios, it signals rising macro uncertainty and fading short-term conviction.
Sentiment is leaning cautious. Risk premiums are expanding.
The real question: is this smart hedging ahead of volatility… or a contrarian buy signal forming under peak pessimism?
When markets price fear this clearly, reversals can get violent.
Is ETH setting up for a flush — or a squeeze?
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