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Fualnguyen
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ΑνατιμητικήFed Rate Cut 84% Likely In December, Prediction Markets Show
Prediction markets now show near-unanimous confidence that the Fed will deliver a 25-basis-point rate cut in December.
On Polymarket, the odds for this cut have surged to 84%, up from 66% just a week earlier.
Related markets also point to a high likelihood of multiple dissenting votes, though still aligned with a 25-bps reduction.
Kalshi and the CME FedWatch Tool echo this view, assigning roughly 84% odds to a rate cut and only about 15–18% to no change.
The broad agreement across platforms signals strong trader conviction that the Fed will ease policy despite mixed economic signals.
#Fualnguyen
{future}(BTCUSDT)
{future}(BNBUSDT)
{future}(ASTERUSDT)
Prediction markets now show near-unanimous confidence that the Fed will deliver a 25-basis-point rate cut in December.
On Polymarket, the odds for this cut have surged to 84%, up from 66% just a week earlier.
Related markets also point to a high likelihood of multiple dissenting votes, though still aligned with a 25-bps reduction.
Kalshi and the CME FedWatch Tool echo this view, assigning roughly 84% odds to a rate cut and only about 15–18% to no change.
The broad agreement across platforms signals strong trader conviction that the Fed will ease policy despite mixed economic signals.
#Fualnguyen
{future}(BTCUSDT)
{future}(BNBUSDT)
{future}(ASTERUSDT)
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