Key Levels (HTF)
Support
• 70,000–68,500 → first demand / bounce attempt
• 63,000–60,000 → major HTF demand
• 52,000–48,000 → extreme risk-off support
Resistance
• 78,000–80,000 → breakdown retest
• 92,000–95,000 → structure flip zone
Scenarios
Base Case (≈60%) – Bearish Continuation
• Lose 70k → liquidation flow
• Target: 63k → 60k
Alt Case (≈30%) – Relief Bounce
• Hold 70k
• Corrective bounce to 78k–80k
• Not trend reversal
Low Prob (≈10%) – Bullish Reclaim
• Weekly acceptance >85k
• Confirmation only >95k