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Another big bank has raised its gold forecast.
This time, it’s JPMorgan expressing more bullish sentiment despite the recent correction.
The big bank raised its 2026 gold forecast from $5,055 per ounce to $6,300.
JPMorgan analysts note that the 11 percent correction late last month ranks alongside some of the largest down days in gold's history, including January 1980's 13 percent fall and the 12 percent slump in February 1983.However, they emphasize gold bugs shouldn’t be worried.
However, they emphasize gold bugs shouldn’t be worried.
JPMorgan analysts also lay out a case for $8,000 gold if households meaningfully increase their allocations. This underscores that while gold may become oversold at times, it is still significantly underinvested.
There has been growing interest in gold as a portfolio diversifier. Last fall, Morgan Stanley CIO Michael Wilson said investors should consider abandoning the traditional 60/40 equity/bond portfolio allocation and adopt a 60/20/20 distribution with 20 percent allocated to precious metals.
On average, Western investors (institutional and private) currently hold less than 1 percent of gold in their portfolios.
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JPMorgan raises Gold forecast to $6,300, makes case for $8,000
JPMorgan raises Gold forecast to $6,300, makes case for $8,000
Mike Maharrey
Mike Maharrey
Money Metals Exchange
Another big bank has raised its gold forecast.
This time, it’s JPMorgan expressing more bullish sentiment despite the recent correction.
The big bank raised its 2026 gold forecast from $5,055 per ounce to $6,300.
JPMorgan analysts note that the 11 percent correction late last month ranks alongside some of the largest down days in gold's history, including January 1980's 13 percent fall and the 12 percent slump in February 1983.
However, they emphasize gold bugs shouldn’t be worried.
"Even with the recent near-term volatility, we remain firmly bullishly convinced in gold over the medium-term on the back of ⁠a clean, structural, ‌continued diversification trend that has further to run amid a still well-entrenched regime of real asset ‍outperformance vs. paper assets."
JPMorgan analysts also lay out a case for $8,000 gold if households meaningfully increase their allocations. This underscores that while gold may become oversold at times, it is still significantly underinvested.
There has been growing interest in gold as a portfolio diversifier. Last fall, Morgan Stanley CIO Michael Wilson said investors should consider abandoning the traditional 60/40 equity/bond portfolio allocation and adopt a 60/20/20 distribution with 20 percent allocated to precious metals.
On average, Western investors (institutional and private) currently hold less than 1 percent of gold in their portfolios.
JPMorgan analysts estimate private investors currently hold around a 3 percent allocation to gold. If that share rises moderately to 4.6 percent, the incremental demand would challenge a market already constrained by limited new mine supply and persistent central‑bank buying. This “could suggest a price range for gold” between $8,000 and $8,500 an ounce.
On average, Western investors (institutional and private) currently hold less than 1 percent of gold in their portfolios.
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02/22/2026 19:12:24 GMT
JPMorgan raises Gold forecast to $6,300, makes case for $8,000
JPMorgan raises Gold forecast to $6,300, makes case for $8,000
Mike Maharrey
Mike Maharrey
Money Metals Exchange
Another big bank has raised its gold forecast.
This time, it’s JPMorgan expressing more bullish sentiment despite the recent correction.
The big bank raised its 2026 gold forecast from $5,055 per ounce to $6,300.
JPMorgan analysts note that the 11 percent correction late last month ranks alongside some of the largest down days in gold's history, including January 1980's 13 percent fall and the 12 percent slump in February 1983.
However, they emphasize gold bugs shouldn’t be worried.
"Even with the recent near-term volatility, we remain firmly bullishly convinced in gold over the medium-term on the back of ⁠a clean, structural, ‌continued diversification trend that has further to run amid a still well-entrenched regime of real asset ‍outperformance vs. paper assets."
JPMorgan analysts also lay out a case for $8,000 gold if households meaningfully increase their allocations. This underscores that while gold may become oversold at times, it is still significantly underinvested.
There has been growing interest in gold as a portfolio diversifier. Last fall, Morgan Stanley CIO Michael Wilson said investors should consider abandoning the traditional 60/40 equity/bond portfolio allocation and adopt a 60/20/20 distribution with 20 percent allocated to precious metals.
On average, Western investors (institutional and private) currently hold less than 1 percent of gold in their portfolios.
JPMorgan analysts estimate private investors currently hold around a 3 percent allocation to gold. If that share rises moderately to 4.6 percent, the incremental demand would challenge a market already constrained by limited new mine supply and persistent central‑bank buying. This “could suggest a price range for gold” b
To support this scenario, analysts say gold appears to be evolving into a “core holding” that is being “rebased higher” in investor portfolios rather than a hedge that occasionally spikes during a crisis.
According to a CNBC report, JPMorgan strategist Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou said households are substituting “duration risk” bonds with more gold exposure. He described it as a rebalancing between yield and purchasing‑power risk.
The decline in purchasing power is a growing concern as the U.S. government plunges deeper into debt. The only way it can manage its borrowing and spending is through the inflation tax. Despite the cooling CPI, we see increasing inflationary pressure in the money supply
JPMorgan analysts point out that gold is up over 170 percent in the last five years.
And while the JPMorgan analysts conceded there is a case for an end to the gold rally, it’s wrong.
That’s because this rally is based on fundamentals, not mere speculation.
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Crypto, real estate and politics collided at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago club as insiders debated tokenization and regulation.
Conversations floated from the future of finance to how it might fix what’s been broken in the past — ambitious visions of tokenized assets, regulatory overhauls, and reimagined capital markets. But just as easily, the talk turned to the upcoming FIFA World Cup tournament and press-on nails, courtesy of a few unexpected names who probably had no business being there, and yet somehow made the whole thing feel even more surreal.
The event was not targeted toward an exclusively U.S. audience; attendees hailed from a number of countries. Several attendees flew from Consensus Hong Kong last week directly to Palm Beach to attend the World Liberty Forum. One attendee said they had flown in on Wednesday morning from ETHDenver, and several others said they would be flying to the Colorado conference following the forum
In any other context, the event would seem to be a typical crypto conference; speakers from traditional financial backgrounds explaining how they're using blockchain or why they're discussing crypto to a dimly lit room.
However, the backdrop loomed: This was a conference put on by World Liberty Financial, the crypto company launched and owned in part by the family of U.S. President Donald Trump, held at his golf club Mar-a-Lago, with several attendees tied to his business interests. Binance founder Changpeng Zhao, in his first U.S. appearance since receiving a pardon from Trump, was spotted at the event. Goldman Sachs' David Solomon joked on stage that he was there because his client had requested his presence.
Many of the panels themselves were high-level; World Liberty Financial co-founder Alex Witkoff asked U.S. Senator Ashley Moody to walk the audience through her background, or Eric Trump and Donald Trump, Jr. reiterating their past grievances with the banks.
"It was forced and maybe opportunistic but we lived a life that opened our eyes to maybe how corrupt the system was … banks [canceled our accounts] for no reason other than my father was wearing a hat that said 'Make America Great Again,'" Eric Trump claimed. "We realized how antiquated finance was, how punitive finance was."
Amid these sessions, some speakers walked through their arguments for the digital assets sector. Franklin Templeton CEO Jenny Johnson laid out the rationale for the U.S. dollar remaining the global reserve currency, saying the European Union was too uncoordinated for the euro to take the dollar's place and other currencies just didn't meet the moment.
About 50% of trade today is done in dollars, another 30% is in the euros, [but] there's no single European debt market. They can't even coordinate around the euro … so that's not going to be the next reserve," she said.
China's renminbi and India's rupee are contenders, but neither is free-floating, and so that makes it unlikely either of those currencies can take on the role, she said.
As long as people are still looking for their stablecoin to be backed by the most risk-free currency, it's going to be the dollar," she said.
Many of the panels nevertheless only had a passing focus on digital assets themselves. The audience reflected this, with crowds mingling outside the actual room to chat during several panels.
It wouldn’t have been a Trump gathering without the biggest real estate moguls in the room — and that’s when tokenization (putting assets on blockchain) became a topic. Hotel billionaire Barry Sternlicht, whose Starwood Capital manages over $125 million in assets under management, said the firm was ready to tokenize real-world assets such as real estate, but continues to be unable to do so given the regularity uncertainty.
Similarly, Kevin O’Leary told listeners that sovereign wealth funds, with whom he speaks regularly, won’t touch crypto because they’re afraid of the regulatory risk that comes with it in the U.S.
From O’Leary to Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon to FIFA president Gianni Infantino, if the day’s lineup were ranked by celebrity status, the organizers surely saved the best for last — and probably the least relevant.
Nicki Minaj closed out the event as the final panelist, but the first that caused half the room to take out their phones to snap a picture. Her presence may not make sense in the context of finance or crypto specifically — when moderator Alex Bruesewitz informed her that people gathered to talk about a new innovation in finance, she said she “can like it" — but given her recently developed close relationship with President Donald Trump, it wasn’t entirely surprising to see her support the family’s event.
The World Liberty Forum wasn’t just a conference, it was the kind of room where fortunes are steered, not pitched, and where the side chatter was just as telling as the main agenda.
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New research claims specialized AI dramatically outperforms general-purpose models at detecting exploited DeFi vulnerabilities.
Both systems ran on the same frontier model. The difference, according to the report, was the application layer: domain-specific methodology, structured review phases and DeFi-focused security heuristics layered on top of the model.
The findings arrive amid growing concern that AI is accelerating crypto crime. Separate research from Anthropic and OpenAI has shown that AI agents can now execute end-to-end exploits on most known vulnerable smart contracts, with exploit capability reportedly doubling roughly every 1.3 months. The average cost of an AI-powered exploit attempt is about $1.22 per contract, sharply lowering the barrier to large-scale scanning.
Previous CoinDesk coverage outlined how bad actors such as North Korea have begun using AI to scale hacking operations and automate parts of the exploit process, underscoring the widening gap between offensive and defensive capabilities.
Cecuro argues that many teams rely on general-purpose AI tools or one-off audits for security, an approach the benchmark suggests may miss high-value, complex vulnerabilities. Several contracts in the dataset had previously undergone professional audits before being exploited.
The benchmark dataset, evaluation framework and baseline agent have been open-sourced on GitHub. The company said it has not released its full security agent due to concerns that similar tooling could be repurposed for offensive use.
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Metaplanet CEO Simon Gerovich published a statement pushing back against online criticism regarding the company’s transparency and bitcoin strategy.
Gerovich said Metaplanet’s stock has not underperformed bitcoin during the current market downturn.
Metaplanet CEO Simon Gerovich has directly addressed recent online criticism of the company's transparency and bitcoin
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strateg
On Friday, Gerovich published an X post pushing back against one online post accusing Metaplanet of engaging in dishonest disclosures, concealing high-priced bitcoin purchases, and mismanaging its strategy.
It's easy to hide behind an anonymous account, criticize others, and stir up flame wars without taking any responsibility whatsoever," Gerovich wrote in a translated statement. "However, I have absolutely no hesitation about publicly taking full responsibility for every single statement I make and every action Metaplanet takes."
Gerovich clarified that while Metaplanet detailed its borrowing terms and collateral, it withheld the lender's identity and exact interest rates to satisfy a confidentiality request from the counterparty.
The Metaplanet CEO also addressed criticism of the company's purchase of bitcoin during its September 2025 peak. Since the end of September, the bitcoin price has fallen by more than 40%, from around $114,000 to its current price of $67,900.
Yes, September turned out to be a local top — we're not denying that," Gerovich said. "But our strategy isn't about timing the market. It's about systematically and long-term accumulating bitcoin, regardless of the price level at which it's trading."
The ongoing market downturn led Metaplanet to report a net loss of 95 billion yen ($619 million) for 2025, driven primarily by a 102.2 billion yen ($665.8 million) unrealized valuation loss on its bitcoin holdings.
Despite the headline loss, Gerovich said operating profit surged 1,695% year-over-year to 6.29 billion yen ($41 million), which he argued demonstrates the strength of Metaplanet's strategy. He pointed to the company's bitcoin-related income activities, including selling put options to accumulate bitcoin at lower effective prices, and said unrealized losses on long-term holdings are not meaningful because the company has no intention of selling them.
Even in this year's down market, our stock fell 23% while bitcoin fell 24% — we have not underperformed," Gerovich said. "Every yen we've raised has been deployed exactly as disclosed and in line with the strategy we've clearly outlined."
Metaplanet's Tokyo-listed stock has slumped 63% over the last six months to 307 yen ($1.98), while its U.S. OTC shares mirrored that decline with a 64.6% drop, closing Thursday at $2.02. Still, the company continues its long-term bitcoin accumulation toward a target of 210,000 BTC by 2027, funded by operating cash flows and capital raises.
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Binance APAC Head SB Seker told The Block that the exchange will complete the restitution for Gopax’s GoFi users within this year.
In 2023, Binance acquired Gopax to rescue users from the liquidity crisis, a move that paved the way for Binance’s re-entry into the South Korean market.
After resolving the GoFi repayments, Binance will put in efforts to overtake competitors in the South Korean crypto market, Seker said.
Binance Head of APAC SB Seker said the world's largest exchange will aim to complete the restitution for South Korea's GoFi users this year, positioning the firm to challenge the top spot in the local crypto market.
In an interview with The Block on Friday, the Binance executive outlined the clearest timeline yet for resolving the long-running liquidity crisis. This would return lost funds to thousands of South Korean investors and clear a path for Binance to return to the local crypto market.
We're definitely looking to try and finish this off this year; it's been hanging over everybody's heads for some time," Seker said. "I think there's alignment on everybody's part. Users, us, regulators, and broader stakeholders, everyone wants to close this chapter."
GoFi, the DeFi service under South Korean crypto exchange Gopax, froze withdrawals in 2023 after its partner, Genesis Global Capital, halted withdrawals and subsequently filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in January 2023.
The crisis led Binance to step in, acquiring a majority stake in Gopax in February 2023 with the intention of injecting capital to help the affected GoFi users. However, South Korean authorities delayed approving Binance's acquisition of Gopax until late last year.
Following regulatory approval of the Gopax acquisition, Binance said that it will soon unveil the wallet address for the funds earmarked for GoFi user restitution, which is currently under third-party custody.
to a Thursday notice from Gopax, the wallet holds 11 different cryptocurrencies, including 775.11 BTC, 5,766.62 ETH, and 706,184.46 USDC. The restitution wallet has the same quantities of digital assets lost in GoFi, rather than their fiat value at the time of the freeze. This reflects the significant price appreciation of assets such as bitcoin and ether since the withdrawals were halted.
Binance holds the crypto ready, but still needs further approvals from various South Korean government agencies. The exchange is also finalizing a distribution plan to minimize costs for all parties involved.
Once repayments are completed, Binance plans to focus on stabilizing and upgrading Gopax, starting with technical and security support by bringing in Binance's global standards. Any potential upgrades in Gopax operations will be reviewed in the future when necessary, Seker told The Block.
We're also upgrading the suite of products that we can eventually offer into the market," Seker said. "These will be non-controversial, in our view, because these products already exist in the market."
Rebranding Gopax under the Binance umbrella remains under consideration but has not been confirmed. According to Seker, the focus remains on tailoring offerings to South Korea's regulatory framework while delivering products aligned with market demand and trends.
Looking further ahead, Binance sees opportunities in stablecoins, real-world asset (RWA) tokenization, and institutional adoption in the South Korean market.
Seker told The Block that Binance could support the distribution of Korean won-pegged stablecoins and payment systems utilizing such tokens, for which local lawmakers are currently working to bring more clarity. He added that distributing tokenized RWAs — beginning with security tokens — through potential partnerships with Korean consortia is another possibility.
Furthermore, Seker said Binance is ready to support Gopax in accommodating institutional customers, which the local exchange is already preparing for. Since last year, South Korea has been gradually easing its de facto ban on corporate crypto investment.
"I think we will harness the mega trends and build the business out in the first 12 months," Seker said.
Meanwhile, Binance could still face roadblocks, such as a proposal by South Korea's Financial Services Commission to cap major shareholders' stakes in crypto exchanges at 15% to 20%. Binance currently holds more than a 67% stake in Gopax.
Seker downplayed concerns about such risks. "It is just another development… We've become very, very adept at dealing with these things," he said. Seker also said that the country's high level of adoption, combined with a balanced mix of market demand and regulation, makes South Korea "the pinnacle of APAC" and potentially "one of the top three hubs in the world" for digital assets.
In three years, five years …. I think we will work our ass off to be competitive for the biggest place in the market," Seker added. Currently, Upbit and Bithumb dominate South Korea’s crypto landscape, with far greater market shares than Gopax. "Whether we overtake them or not, the results matter less than the objective and how we're trying to get there … We have confidence that the rankings will prove themselves."
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Newity has raised $11 million in new funding led by CMT Digital as it explores taking its small business lending platform onchain.
The fintech firm says it has helped over 125,000 businesses access $12 billion in loans and plans to announce its blockchain strategy in Q1.
Newity, a fintech firm focused on facilitating small business loans, has raised $11 million in a strategic funding round as it explores bringing those loans onchain.
CMT Digital, a division of trading and investment firm CMT Group, led the round, Newity said Thursday. Additional participants included private and institutional investors, Newity co-founder and co-CEO David Cody told The Block, but he declined to disclose their names.
Cody said the round marks Newity’s first fundraise, which began at the end of 2024 and closed in December 2025. The round was structured as a simple agreement for future equity (SAFE), he said, declining to disclose Newity’s valuation or whether any investors received board or advisory seats.
Newity was founded in 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic by Cody and co-CEO Luke LaHaie to help small businesses navigate funding challenges during the Paycheck Protection Program, a U.S. Small Business Administration (SBA) loan initiative launched to support businesses during the crisis. After the program ended in May 2021, Newity shifted its focus to SBA 7(a) government-backed loans and growth term loans.
Newity itself is not an SBA lender. Instead, it acts as a lending service provider to participating SBA lenders, including Northeast Bank, which ultimately originate and approve the loans. Cody declined to name other lenders Newity works with.
Since launch, Newity said it has processed and serviced more than $12 billion in financing for over 125,000 small businesses. Cody said the average loan size is approximately $118,800 life-to-date, with a maximum loan size of $350,000.
Asked how using Newity differs from applying directly through an SBA lender, Cody said borrowers working directly with lenders must follow each lender’s process and timeline, which can vary significantly. “Some lenders have adopted technology; others still rely heavily on paper,” he said.
Newity, by contrast, offers a fully online application process, automated documentation workflows, and a dedicated team to move applications forward. Borrowers can receive funding in as little as three weeks through Newity, compared with traditional timelines that can exceed 12 weeks, he added.
Cody said Newity’s “AI-first underwriting platform” analyzes hundreds of data points — including credit checks, identity verification, and tax document summaries — to determine eligibility and streamline the application process. “This allows borrowers to receive a prequalified loan amount in less than 10 minutes and funding in as little as 21 days, rather than waiting 12+ weeks,” he said.
Newity generates revenue through loan-processing fees. On its crypto strategy, Cody said the firm is exploring various options to take loans onchain and expects to announce its path in the first quarter.
We’re not improving small business lending, we’re reinventing the financial infrastructure that connects entrepreneurs to capital,” LaHaie said. “AI and blockchain give us the infrastructure to empower our team to operate at the scale that this market demands.”
Newity is headquartered in Chicago and has about 115 employees, most of whom work from the office, with some remote staff, Cody said. The firm is actively hiring across partner, marketing, and technology roles, he added.
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Voltage has launched a programmatic revolving credit line allowing businesses to settle payments instantly over the Lightning Network while repaying balances in U.S. dollars, removing the need to hold bitcoin on their balance sheets.
The rollout follows Voltage powering a $1 million Lightning Network transaction between Secure Digital Markets and Kraken, highlighting growing institutional use of bitcoin’s payment infrastructure.
Bitcoin
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infrastructure firm Voltage announced Thursday the launch of Voltage Credit, a revolving line of credit that allows businesses to send payments with instant finality over the Lightning Network while repaying the facility in U.S. dollars from a standard bank accoun
The Texas-based company said the product is designed for enterprises seeking to use Bitcoin's payment rails without holding the cryptocurrency on their balance sheets. It seeks to address a structural gap in corporate finance, according to a statement shared with The Block.
Traditional banks generally do not underwrite loans based on Bitcoin-denominated revenue, while existing crypto lending products typically require businesses to lock up BTC as collateral, potentially creating tax events and exposing treasuries to price volatility, Voltage said. Instead, its product uses revenue-based underwriting to determine and scale credit limits according to a company's actual transaction volume processed through Voltage's infrastructure.
Until now, using Bitcoin for payments meant managing cryptocurrency on your balance sheet," Voltage CEO Graham Krizek said in the statement. "Voltage Credit eliminates that tradeoff. Send payments instantly over Lightning, denominated in USD or Bitcoin based on what fits your business, and deploy your capital toward growth. That's what Bitcoin infrastructure should look like for the enterprise."
Voltage said the facility carries no origination fees and applies a fixed annual percentage rate to outstanding balances.
The launch follows a $1 million Lightning Network transaction on Jan. 28 between Secure Digital Markets and Kraken, powered by Voltage. The payment, disclosed earlier this month, was described as the first publicly reported seven-figure Lightning transfer and settled near-instantly with minimal fees.
Lightning adoption broadens across payments and infrastructure
The Lightning Network is a second-layer protocol built on top of the Bitcoin blockchain that enables off-chain transactions through payment channels. Users fund a channel with an onchain Bitcoin transaction and can then route multiple payments instantly within that channel. When the channel closes, transactions are consolidated and settled on the base layer, reducing fees and confirmation times.
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In a report last year, digital asset manager Fidelity described the Lightning Network as a "payment scaling layer" for bitcoin that has expanded beyond peer-to-peer transactions to support broader use cases. The firm said more businesses integrated Lightning in 2024 than in prior years and characterized the network as delivering low-cost transaction efficiency within the digital asset ecosystem
Several major financial platforms have integrated Lightning functionality in recent months. Crypto exchange Coinbase said in April last year that Lightning Network facilitates 15% of its bitcoin transaction volume, while fast-food chain Steak 'n Shake added $10 million to its bitcoin treasury eight months after rolling out Lightning payments across all U.S. locations, claiming same-store sales rose 15% following the integration.
Financial services firms have also incorporated Lightning rails. SoFi announced in August 2025 that it would use infrastructure from Lightspark to power international money transfers, converting U.S. dollars to bitcoin in real time and routing funds over Lightning before converting them into local currency. Cash App, founded by Jack Dorsey, rolled out Bitcoin Lightning and stablecoin payment features in November last year.
Last week, Lightning Labs released open-source tools enabling AI agents to run Lightning nodes and make payments without identity or API keys. The toolkit includes seven composable skills covering node operations and L402-gated API payments, allowing autonomous systems to transact programmatically.
According to The Block's data dashboard, the Lightning Network's total U.S. dollar capacity exceeded $500 million earlier in January before declining to approximately $340 million. Bitcoin capacity reached a peak above 5,700 BTC that month, representing a 55% increase from a low of around 3,730 BTC recorded in August last year.
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China vows to denounce US at WTO after 10% tariff imposed by Trump
Beijing calls additional 10% tariff on Chinese imports a 'serious violation' of trade rules#AltcoinRevolution2028
China has vowed to retaliate against the United States after President Donald Trump signed an executive order on Saturday (1st) imposing an additional 10% tariff on imports from the world's second-largest economy.#GoogleDocsMagic
In a statement released on Sunday (2), China's Commerce Ministry promised to file a "complaint" against the US at the World Trade Organization (WTO), condemning the blanket tariff as a "serious violation" of international trade rules. Beijing said it "will take corresponding countermeasures to firmly defend its own rights and interests", without going into details.