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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
marchealo:
❤️❤️❤️
Four-Year Cycle Hypothesis Derivation
Most Optimistic Expectation
#btc This round of decline has not defeated institutional faith, and there are no external continuous negative factors. In February and March, it seeks to break 90,000, and from April to July, it will retrace to 75,000, seeking to start a new super cycle after October following fluctuations.
Worst Expectation
#btc Institutions learn lessons and suppress prices to eliminate retail investors, with prices collapsing to 60,000 or breaking below 58,000. Certain giants like Strategy could be liquidated, and the market will experience a confidence recovery lasting six months to a year, initiating a monthly-level head and shoulders pattern.
Institutional Expectation
#btc Institutions learn lessons and suppress prices to eliminate retail investors, with prices collapsing to 60,000 or breaking below 58,000. No major entities were liquidated, and the market will experience six months of fluctuating recovery, starting a new super cycle.
Most Optimistic Expectation
#btc This round of decline has not defeated institutional faith, and there are no external continuous negative factors. In February and March, it seeks to break 90,000, and from April to July, it will retrace to 75,000, seeking to start a new super cycle after October following fluctuations.
Worst Expectation
#btc Institutions learn lessons and suppress prices to eliminate retail investors, with prices collapsing to 60,000 or breaking below 58,000. Certain giants like Strategy could be liquidated, and the market will experience a confidence recovery lasting six months to a year, initiating a monthly-level head and shoulders pattern.
Institutional Expectation
#btc Institutions learn lessons and suppress prices to eliminate retail investors, with prices collapsing to 60,000 or breaking below 58,000. No major entities were liquidated, and the market will experience six months of fluctuating recovery, starting a new super cycle.
星璇:
能在30月线v起来算不错了，到60月线那就要等好久了
why Markeet crashed
The #crypto market crashed due to a mix of global economic pressure and investor fear.
Rising interest rates pushed investors away from risky assets like @Crypto
Massive liquidations occurred as leveraged traders were forced out of positions.
Negative news and regulatory uncertainty weakened market confidence.
Whales sold large holdings, increasing selling pressure.
Bitcoin breaking key support levels triggered panic selling.
Altcoins fell harder because of lower liquidity.
Stock market weakness also impacted #crypto sentiment.
Low trading volume made price drops sharper.
Overall, fear and uncertainty dominated the market, causing a broad
#CryptoPatience #btc $BTC
$ETH
$SOL
Rising interest rates pushed investors away from risky assets like @Crypto
Massive liquidations occurred as leveraged traders were forced out of positions.
Negative news and regulatory uncertainty weakened market confidence.
Whales sold large holdings, increasing selling pressure.
Bitcoin breaking key support levels triggered panic selling.
Altcoins fell harder because of lower liquidity.
Stock market weakness also impacted #crypto sentiment.
Low trading volume made price drops sharper.
Overall, fear and uncertainty dominated the market, causing a broad
#CryptoPatience #btc $BTC
$ETH
$SOL
Aasif Qadir:
when it rose?
🚨 IMPORTANT ALERT – BITCOIN (02/02/2026 ONWARDS) 🚨
Bitcoin has officially entered a critical phase of the cycle.
📉 The price has lost important averages, is within a downtrend channel, and is now operating over a decisive zone between 76k and 78k.
🧠 Historically, 2026 is NOT a year of euphoria, but rather of:
✔️ Corrections
✔️ Long consolidations
✔️ Psychological testing of investors
💥 Those who buy at the top feel pain.
🧊 Those who understand cycles build wealth.
🔎 Key zones to observe:
Resistance: 83k / 99k
Strong support: 68k / 58k
⚠️ If it loses 76k, the market may seek lower regions before any new sustainable high.
📊 It is not a time for emotion. It is a time for strategy.
📚 Study, manage risk, and think like an institution.
💬 Those who understand the cycle do not panic.
$BTC BTC #btc #btc #BitcoinETFWatch
Bitcoin has officially entered a critical phase of the cycle.
📉 The price has lost important averages, is within a downtrend channel, and is now operating over a decisive zone between 76k and 78k.
🧠 Historically, 2026 is NOT a year of euphoria, but rather of:
✔️ Corrections
✔️ Long consolidations
✔️ Psychological testing of investors
💥 Those who buy at the top feel pain.
🧊 Those who understand cycles build wealth.
🔎 Key zones to observe:
Resistance: 83k / 99k
Strong support: 68k / 58k
⚠️ If it loses 76k, the market may seek lower regions before any new sustainable high.
📊 It is not a time for emotion. It is a time for strategy.
📚 Study, manage risk, and think like an institution.
💬 Those who understand the cycle do not panic.
$BTC BTC #btc #btc #BitcoinETFWatch
Dorsey Ratkowski Z8S1:
Some desse mercaod na vale nada so engana tonto
«Everyone is waiting for the shot. And the market is still breathing».
My friends often ask me about bitcoin: you said there would be growth in 2026?
Yes, I believe there will be growth — but not right now.
For now, BTC, in my opinion, will move in a flat range of 60,000–90,000. And yes, you can also make great profits in this range if you understand the market structure.
Closer to September–October, I expect a sharp upward movement. Not a drop — but rather an impulse growth.
From there, the goal is 150,000.
$BTC #btc
My friends often ask me about bitcoin: you said there would be growth in 2026?
Yes, I believe there will be growth — but not right now.
For now, BTC, in my opinion, will move in a flat range of 60,000–90,000. And yes, you can also make great profits in this range if you understand the market structure.
Closer to September–October, I expect a sharp upward movement. Not a drop — but rather an impulse growth.
From there, the goal is 150,000.
$BTC #btc
There was a time when Pablo did not dream of traveling or luxury.
He dreamed of eating.
He worked at McDonald's, long hours, cracked hands, forced smile. He earned 10 dollars a day and still there were nights when his stomach hurt more than his tiredness. Sometimes he would take home a cold hamburger, not because he wanted to, but because it was the only thing available.
When he closed his eyes, he did not ask for riches.
He asked for the next day to be a little less hard.
Many looked at him without seeing him. No one imagined that this boy, in a cheap uniform and tired eyes, carried within him a strength that he did not even know.
One day he heard about Bitcoin (BTC). Not as a shortcut, not as magic. As a small, almost ridiculous hope. Pablo started with fear. With loose coins. With silent sacrifices. There were days he doubted, days he thought he was losing the little he had.
But he did not give up.
Years passed. And one day, Pablo found himself standing in London.
He cried in front of Big Ben. He cried like never before. Not for the city, but for the journey. For the hunger, for the tiredness, for all the times no one bet on him.
When he sat in his Rolls-Royce, he did not smile for the luxury.
He closed his eyes and remembered the Pablo who cleaned tables, the Pablo who counted coins, the Pablo who endured when giving up seemed the most logical thing to do.
Bitcoin did not change his life by itself.
Pablo did. With patience, with pain, with faith when there was nothing else.
Today, every time he passes by a McDonald's, he looks down for a second…
and thanks for not letting go of himself when the world had already done so.
All thanks to BTC 🤑💸💸 #btc $BTC
He dreamed of eating.
He worked at McDonald's, long hours, cracked hands, forced smile. He earned 10 dollars a day and still there were nights when his stomach hurt more than his tiredness. Sometimes he would take home a cold hamburger, not because he wanted to, but because it was the only thing available.
When he closed his eyes, he did not ask for riches.
He asked for the next day to be a little less hard.
Many looked at him without seeing him. No one imagined that this boy, in a cheap uniform and tired eyes, carried within him a strength that he did not even know.
One day he heard about Bitcoin (BTC). Not as a shortcut, not as magic. As a small, almost ridiculous hope. Pablo started with fear. With loose coins. With silent sacrifices. There were days he doubted, days he thought he was losing the little he had.
But he did not give up.
Years passed. And one day, Pablo found himself standing in London.
He cried in front of Big Ben. He cried like never before. Not for the city, but for the journey. For the hunger, for the tiredness, for all the times no one bet on him.
When he sat in his Rolls-Royce, he did not smile for the luxury.
He closed his eyes and remembered the Pablo who cleaned tables, the Pablo who counted coins, the Pablo who endured when giving up seemed the most logical thing to do.
Bitcoin did not change his life by itself.
Pablo did. With patience, with pain, with faith when there was nothing else.
Today, every time he passes by a McDonald's, he looks down for a second…
and thanks for not letting go of himself when the world had already done so.
All thanks to BTC 🤑💸💸 #btc $BTC
Lanny Parran Zg0e:
Buenas historia, la verdad es que al final solo nos tenemos a nosotros mismos, solo toca confiar y no perder la fe
BTC UPDATE ( Weekly)
There are no major changes from the previous analysis. However, I’ll briefly repeat the entire BTC plan once again.
BTC is currently sitting in the weekly swing low zone, right around Saylor’s average buy level near 76k. A move below this area is likely to increase fear and tension across the Crypto market and could push Saylor’s holdings into negative returns.
👉 At the moment, BTC is holding the weekly timeframe support zone. If we see a sweep below 74k, a reaction from this area could send price back for a retest of the 82–84k range. After that, the next leg is expected to continue lower.
In summary, based on market structure, the final bottom has not yet formed. The 71–74k sweep should be viewed only as a local bottom
🍸The chart below clearly highlights similar structural scenarios that played out in the past.
#StrategyBTCPurchase #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #btc #MarketCorrection #USGovShutdown
$BTC
$SOL
$ETH
There are no major changes from the previous analysis. However, I’ll briefly repeat the entire BTC plan once again.
BTC is currently sitting in the weekly swing low zone, right around Saylor’s average buy level near 76k. A move below this area is likely to increase fear and tension across the Crypto market and could push Saylor’s holdings into negative returns.
👉 At the moment, BTC is holding the weekly timeframe support zone. If we see a sweep below 74k, a reaction from this area could send price back for a retest of the 82–84k range. After that, the next leg is expected to continue lower.
In summary, based on market structure, the final bottom has not yet formed. The 71–74k sweep should be viewed only as a local bottom
🍸The chart below clearly highlights similar structural scenarios that played out in the past.
#StrategyBTCPurchase #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #btc #MarketCorrection #USGovShutdown
$BTC
$SOL
$ETH
From the data, the Hype leverage liquidation volume is 6 times that of Binance and 2 times that of Bybit. Although Binance has data black boxes and does not fully disclose data, it is roughly around 2 to 3 times that of Bybit, equivalent to being on par with Hype.
The two major headliners 'Lao Deng' quarreling will cause only a temporary impact on the market, and even if they explode, it will not fundamentally affect the entire industry; there’s nothing worth watching. Their competitors are not CEX itself, but low-level gamblers playing leveraged contracts. However, Hype quickly pulls ahead in market share, especially after October, as many market makers migrate liquidity from CEX to on-chain. High-level gamblers have gone to the prediction market to showcase their reasoning ability 'IQ'.
When market makers leave, what remains in CEX is only emotions, leverage, and old users watching the quarrels of 'Lao Deng', which is as uninteresting as the end of a dynasty. The discourse power is still there, resources are still there, but the structure has already hollowed out.😑
It can be said that the three major Chinese CEXs have buried their own future with their reckless operations in this round of market, and the October events are not a turning point, just allowing the market to see clearly in advance, 'The old king is not dead, the new king has already risen.'
As liquidity returns to Base, becoming the first spot CEX for connecting institutional funds, Hype and the prediction market will continue to eat into the 'gamblers'.
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
The two major headliners 'Lao Deng' quarreling will cause only a temporary impact on the market, and even if they explode, it will not fundamentally affect the entire industry; there’s nothing worth watching. Their competitors are not CEX itself, but low-level gamblers playing leveraged contracts. However, Hype quickly pulls ahead in market share, especially after October, as many market makers migrate liquidity from CEX to on-chain. High-level gamblers have gone to the prediction market to showcase their reasoning ability 'IQ'.
When market makers leave, what remains in CEX is only emotions, leverage, and old users watching the quarrels of 'Lao Deng', which is as uninteresting as the end of a dynasty. The discourse power is still there, resources are still there, but the structure has already hollowed out.😑
It can be said that the three major Chinese CEXs have buried their own future with their reckless operations in this round of market, and the October events are not a turning point, just allowing the market to see clearly in advance, 'The old king is not dead, the new king has already risen.'
As liquidity returns to Base, becoming the first spot CEX for connecting institutional funds, Hype and the prediction market will continue to eat into the 'gamblers'.
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
黑天鹅z:
hype什么位置会清算
$BTC on main support—Bitcoin at $170,000 👀
The bottom is likely here. The RSI indicator is in oversold territory as it was at the peak of the previous cycle.
The chart is preparing for a big move. A strong movement is expected in the next 7 days.
The analysis suggests the possibility of a parabolic upward wave… let's wait and see.
#BTC #btc
The bottom is likely here. The RSI indicator is in oversold territory as it was at the peak of the previous cycle.
The chart is preparing for a big move. A strong movement is expected in the next 7 days.
The analysis suggests the possibility of a parabolic upward wave… let's wait and see.
#BTC #btc
KA Farg:
اظن والله اعلم في نزول كمان
BTC $76K: Don't Panic, It's in Buying Opportunity Zone
Ever wondered about tools that help determine the best time to buy Bitcoin? Well, the Bitcoin Valuation Indicator is one of those built straight into the Binance Official app.
The score lands $BTC in one of three buckets depending on what you get:
- Opportunity Zone (below 0.45): Bitcoin looks seriously underpriced compared to past trends – time to consider diving in.
- DCA Zone (from 0.45 to 1.2): Things seem balanced, so steady buying makes sense.
- Risk Zone (above 1.2): Could be getting too pricey, so maybe pump the brakes on fresh buys.
🔥Figuring Out When to Buy Bitcoin Using AHR999
Looking at the latest info from today February 2, 2026, the AHR999 is sitting at 0.4. Bitcoin's at around $76K-$78K, and the 200-day average cost is $103,353. That's smack in the Opportunity Zone (below 0.45), which tells us Bitcoin is undervalued big time right now – the kind of rare chance that doesn't come around often.
🔥Why Now Feels Like a Smart Time to Buy
- Looking back at history: I've checked stuff on places like CoinGlass and TradingView, and whenever this score drops under 0.45, it's often right at the bottom of those rough market phases, think 2018, 2022, or the end of 2025. From what we've seen before, snapping up some at these levels usually pays off down the road, as prices snap back to that ongoing growth path (we're talking roughly 200% yearly bump in the model's view). Back in past upswings, spots like this sparked massive price jumps, sometimes multiplying what you put in.
- Right now, the price is way down from the recent average people paid ($76K-$78K compared to $103,353), so it feels like a quick drop – could be from news on the economy, new regs, or global stuff happening. Great spot to pick up some on the cheap.
- The whole idea is to make it simple to check if Bitcoin's a steal at its current price, without diving into a ton of technical mumbo-jumbo. It really just focuses on a pair of straightforward checks:
- Is the price a bargain short-term? It lines up today's Bitcoin price with the average from the past 200 days.
- Is it cheap over the long run? This part compares the price to Bitcoin's big-picture growth trend from way back, sort of like figuring out its real core worth.
📝 How This AHR999 Thing Actually Works
AHR999 = (Bitcoin's price right now divided by the 200-day DCA figure) times (that same current price divided by a number based on how long Bitcoin's been around).
- What's the 200-day DCA figure? Imagine you picked up a tiny bit of Bitcoin each day for the last 200 days – this is roughly what that would add up to in costs. Pretty much an average of those old prices.
- And the "coin age" number? It comes from a simple model that looks at Bitcoin's prices since it kicked off in 2009. Basically, it uses something like this to estimate a fair price over time: 10 to the power of (5.84 multiplied by the log base 10 of the days since start, minus 17.01).
Sure, the indicator is screaming "buy," especially if you're going all in or adding more to your stack, but crypto can swing wildly. Prices might drop even more short-term because of surprise news or big economic shakes. Don't put in money you can't lose, and spread out your investments.
#btc #bitcoin #MarketPullback #WhenWillBTCRebound
The score lands $BTC in one of three buckets depending on what you get:
- Opportunity Zone (below 0.45): Bitcoin looks seriously underpriced compared to past trends – time to consider diving in.
- DCA Zone (from 0.45 to 1.2): Things seem balanced, so steady buying makes sense.
- Risk Zone (above 1.2): Could be getting too pricey, so maybe pump the brakes on fresh buys.
🔥Figuring Out When to Buy Bitcoin Using AHR999
Looking at the latest info from today February 2, 2026, the AHR999 is sitting at 0.4. Bitcoin's at around $76K-$78K, and the 200-day average cost is $103,353. That's smack in the Opportunity Zone (below 0.45), which tells us Bitcoin is undervalued big time right now – the kind of rare chance that doesn't come around often.
🔥Why Now Feels Like a Smart Time to Buy
- Looking back at history: I've checked stuff on places like CoinGlass and TradingView, and whenever this score drops under 0.45, it's often right at the bottom of those rough market phases, think 2018, 2022, or the end of 2025. From what we've seen before, snapping up some at these levels usually pays off down the road, as prices snap back to that ongoing growth path (we're talking roughly 200% yearly bump in the model's view). Back in past upswings, spots like this sparked massive price jumps, sometimes multiplying what you put in.
- Right now, the price is way down from the recent average people paid ($76K-$78K compared to $103,353), so it feels like a quick drop – could be from news on the economy, new regs, or global stuff happening. Great spot to pick up some on the cheap.
- The whole idea is to make it simple to check if Bitcoin's a steal at its current price, without diving into a ton of technical mumbo-jumbo. It really just focuses on a pair of straightforward checks:
- Is the price a bargain short-term? It lines up today's Bitcoin price with the average from the past 200 days.
- Is it cheap over the long run? This part compares the price to Bitcoin's big-picture growth trend from way back, sort of like figuring out its real core worth.
📝 How This AHR999 Thing Actually Works
AHR999 = (Bitcoin's price right now divided by the 200-day DCA figure) times (that same current price divided by a number based on how long Bitcoin's been around).
- What's the 200-day DCA figure? Imagine you picked up a tiny bit of Bitcoin each day for the last 200 days – this is roughly what that would add up to in costs. Pretty much an average of those old prices.
- And the "coin age" number? It comes from a simple model that looks at Bitcoin's prices since it kicked off in 2009. Basically, it uses something like this to estimate a fair price over time: 10 to the power of (5.84 multiplied by the log base 10 of the days since start, minus 17.01).
Sure, the indicator is screaming "buy," especially if you're going all in or adding more to your stack, but crypto can swing wildly. Prices might drop even more short-term because of surprise news or big economic shakes. Don't put in money you can't lose, and spread out your investments.
#btc #bitcoin #MarketPullback #WhenWillBTCRebound
Fualnguyen:
Many people can’t control their fear
and end up selling instead of buying.
Once upon a time, there was a little cartoon vagabond who had only 5 dollars in his pocket 🪙
He was sad and said:
—With this, I can only afford an imaginary bread 🥖😢
Suddenly, Bitcoin appeared, dressed like a superhero 🦸♂️💛, and said:
—Don't worry! In the world of cartoons, anything can happen!
The man put his 5 dollars into Bitcoin and… ¡PUM! 💥✨The BTC all the way to the moon $BTC
In the next episode of the cartoon, he already had castles, chocolate pools, and so many zeros that they didn't fit on the screen 🏰🍫
Then someone shouted:
—He’s so rich that he has more coins than the uncle from Monopoly… and more fortune than Trump in the cartoons! 😆
Bitcoin winked and said:
—Remember, kids: this is just a fun story… but learning about money is serious business! 📚😊
And they all went to eat digital ice cream 🍦🎮
#btc
He was sad and said:
—With this, I can only afford an imaginary bread 🥖😢
Suddenly, Bitcoin appeared, dressed like a superhero 🦸♂️💛, and said:
—Don't worry! In the world of cartoons, anything can happen!
The man put his 5 dollars into Bitcoin and… ¡PUM! 💥✨The BTC all the way to the moon $BTC
In the next episode of the cartoon, he already had castles, chocolate pools, and so many zeros that they didn't fit on the screen 🏰🍫
Then someone shouted:
—He’s so rich that he has more coins than the uncle from Monopoly… and more fortune than Trump in the cartoons! 😆
Bitcoin winked and said:
—Remember, kids: this is just a fun story… but learning about money is serious business! 📚😊
And they all went to eat digital ice cream 🍦🎮
#btc
This round of Bitcoin decline is actually difficult to pin down at the bottom, and the current technical reference value is limited. Even if it is clear that 75500 and 77000 are strong support levels, sudden market fluctuations make it hard to respond.
Last night, 75000 already liquidated a batch of high-position long positions, and there are still many trapped positions around 81000-82000, so the market is highly likely to wash out another round of bottom-fishing chips before it can quickly rebound based on news.
Recently, it is advisable to operate based on low-level fluctuations, and remember to control risks with your long positions, either reducing positions or hedging is fine, stability is key. $BTC #btc
Last night, 75000 already liquidated a batch of high-position long positions, and there are still many trapped positions around 81000-82000, so the market is highly likely to wash out another round of bottom-fishing chips before it can quickly rebound based on news.
Recently, it is advisable to operate based on low-level fluctuations, and remember to control risks with your long positions, either reducing positions or hedging is fine, stability is key. $BTC #btc
This time it's aimed at institutions. Retail investors have been wiped out. Large institutions are targeting small institutions. #btc $BTC
Washington and Wall Street are taking action simultaneously, and this wave of signals is more heart-wrenching than the black swan on 10/11!
First, the U.S. House of Representatives has submitted a bill to prohibit the President, his family, and congressional members from participating in cryptocurrency and stock trading. This is not a question of investment capability, but a complete severing of the financial ties between politicians and the crypto market. Undoubtedly, this adds a policy gray rhinoceros to the crypto space, compounded by the tightening global regulatory backdrop on cryptocurrencies, with subsequent regulations likely to continue tightening.
Second, more fatal, Wall Street giant S&P Global has given Bitcoin "die-hard fan" MicroStrategy a B rating. According to S&P's rating definitions, a B rating falls under speculative grade, indicating a higher risk of default. This is equivalent to Wall Street openly releasing a bearish signal, directly stating that they do not recognize the investment value of crypto assets and will not enter the market to buy.
With the aftershocks of the 10/11 black swan still unresolved, the repeated statements from Trump's team regarding crypto assets have already disrupted market sentiment. Now, with dual pressure from policies and institutions, market sentiment is completely suppressed.
In the short term, do not expect institutions to bail out; with policies undecided and institutional ratings negative, entering the market at this moment will only become emotional cannon fodder. The most prudent approach right now is still to adhere to the principle of "stability," keep hands steady, conserve ammunition, and patiently wait for reversal signals.
Washington and Wall Street are taking action simultaneously, and this wave of signals is more heart-wrenching than the black swan on 10/11!
First, the U.S. House of Representatives has submitted a bill to prohibit the President, his family, and congressional members from participating in cryptocurrency and stock trading. This is not a question of investment capability, but a complete severing of the financial ties between politicians and the crypto market. Undoubtedly, this adds a policy gray rhinoceros to the crypto space, compounded by the tightening global regulatory backdrop on cryptocurrencies, with subsequent regulations likely to continue tightening.
Second, more fatal, Wall Street giant S&P Global has given Bitcoin "die-hard fan" MicroStrategy a B rating. According to S&P's rating definitions, a B rating falls under speculative grade, indicating a higher risk of default. This is equivalent to Wall Street openly releasing a bearish signal, directly stating that they do not recognize the investment value of crypto assets and will not enter the market to buy.
With the aftershocks of the 10/11 black swan still unresolved, the repeated statements from Trump's team regarding crypto assets have already disrupted market sentiment. Now, with dual pressure from policies and institutions, market sentiment is completely suppressed.
In the short term, do not expect institutions to bail out; with policies undecided and institutional ratings negative, entering the market at this moment will only become emotional cannon fodder. The most prudent approach right now is still to adhere to the principle of "stability," keep hands steady, conserve ammunition, and patiently wait for reversal signals.
🚨 Why $BTC $85K Could Be the Ultimate Resistance Wall for Months Ahead
$85,000 is shaping up to be Bitcoin's toughest resistance level for the next 6 months. Here's why this isn't your average barrier—it's built on real pain from trapped buyers:
If you scooped up BTC between $85K and $108K in the last 3 months, you're likely underwater right now. That's a massive overhead supply of "trapped longs" itching for an exit.
Picture this: When BTC rallies back to $85K, these holders get their shot at breakeven. Brace for a crazy flood of sells dumping in, smashing any upward momentum flat.
What makes this different from your usual resistance levels? It's insane.
- Insane Volume: Over $120B in spot trading volume piled up in the $85K–$95K zone from Oct-Dec 2025. This isn't thin air—it's a solid fortress of stuck capital.
Compare it to history:
- March 2024 ($60K–$70K consolidation): ~$80B volume
- This one: ~$120B—50% more capital locked in than any prior cycle pause.
Right now, $BTC is hovering at ~$75K. That's a 14% pump to hit $85K... but it'll slam into a wall of sellers. Not due to charts alone, but human psychology—real losses pushing real people to dump.
Data shows underwater holders typically hold 45-90 days before capitulating. We're at ~60 days in. If BTC doesn't reclaim $85K within the next 30 days, expect a shift: From "HODL for breakeven" to "Sell on any bounce."
Result? $85K turns into the ceiling, capping rallies for months.
What do you think—will BTC break through or get rejected hard $85K? Drop your thoughts below! #btc #bitcoin #MarketPullback #WhenWillBTCRebound
$85,000 is shaping up to be Bitcoin's toughest resistance level for the next 6 months. Here's why this isn't your average barrier—it's built on real pain from trapped buyers:
If you scooped up BTC between $85K and $108K in the last 3 months, you're likely underwater right now. That's a massive overhead supply of "trapped longs" itching for an exit.
Picture this: When BTC rallies back to $85K, these holders get their shot at breakeven. Brace for a crazy flood of sells dumping in, smashing any upward momentum flat.
What makes this different from your usual resistance levels? It's insane.
- Insane Volume: Over $120B in spot trading volume piled up in the $85K–$95K zone from Oct-Dec 2025. This isn't thin air—it's a solid fortress of stuck capital.
Compare it to history:
- March 2024 ($60K–$70K consolidation): ~$80B volume
- This one: ~$120B—50% more capital locked in than any prior cycle pause.
Right now, $BTC is hovering at ~$75K. That's a 14% pump to hit $85K... but it'll slam into a wall of sellers. Not due to charts alone, but human psychology—real losses pushing real people to dump.
Data shows underwater holders typically hold 45-90 days before capitulating. We're at ~60 days in. If BTC doesn't reclaim $85K within the next 30 days, expect a shift: From "HODL for breakeven" to "Sell on any bounce."
Result? $85K turns into the ceiling, capping rallies for months.
What do you think—will BTC break through or get rejected hard $85K? Drop your thoughts below! #btc #bitcoin #MarketPullback #WhenWillBTCRebound
Crypto Ant:
greedy also basic human nature, when hit 85k, wait a little moment maybe will be hit 87k , so on...so on...until hit 100k... (I hope so 😁)
From the early morning of January 31 to the early morning of February 1, Bitcoin saw a four-hour KDJ and RSI double golden cross. The first round of technical selling caused Bitcoin to drop from 85000 to 75800, a drop of ten thousand points, while Ethereum fell from around 2700 to around 2200, a drop of five thousand points. This was enough to wipe out a large number of long positions. The rebound after the spike was quite good, with Bitcoin bouncing back by four thousand points and Ethereum by two hundred points. The strength of the rebound led some people to attempt to buy the dip. On February 1 at 4 PM, Bitcoin had a potential double indicator golden cross on the four-hour chart, but here it began to be technically suppressed and started a downward trend. On Monday morning, following the drop in gold and silver, Bitcoin tested a low of around 74500, while Ethereum was around 2150. This was not far from the first round of the spike, but it was enough to clear out all the speculators who had tried to buy the dip during the process.
Only when the market is sufficiently panicked will the main players be interested in intervening. I believe this position is very good and can easily become a cyclical turning point. #btc
Only when the market is sufficiently panicked will the main players be interested in intervening. I believe this position is very good and can easily become a cyclical turning point. #btc
From the perspective of game theory, the chances of a rebound tonight are very high. There are no other reasons; what should have been cleared has been cleared. From here, the Spring Festival should lead to a new round of upward trends driven by the rebound #btc
The Bull Market Lie? A 70% Collapse is Inevitable! 🩸$BTC
The truth has emerged: No new liquidity is entering the market at all! 🚫💰
The CEO of CryptoQuant confirms "Realized capital is stable" while BTC drops -3.88%. 📉
The early whales are taking profits, and buying pressure has completely disappeared. 💨
The real horror? If Michael Saylor sells, we will face a historic collapse of 70%! 📉💀
📉 Survival Plan (Conditional Scenario):
👀 If Michael Saylor and institutions hold Bitcoin:
🚪 Expect: Wide-ranging sideways volatility (volatile market).
🎯 Strategy: Fast speculation (Scalping) and avoiding holding.
👀 If Saylor sells:
🛑 Predictions: A deep collapse of 70% (total destruction).
Is Michael Saylor the only one keeping us from the bottom? 👇
DYOR $BTC #btc
The truth has emerged: No new liquidity is entering the market at all! 🚫💰
The CEO of CryptoQuant confirms "Realized capital is stable" while BTC drops -3.88%. 📉
The early whales are taking profits, and buying pressure has completely disappeared. 💨
The real horror? If Michael Saylor sells, we will face a historic collapse of 70%! 📉💀
📉 Survival Plan (Conditional Scenario):
👀 If Michael Saylor and institutions hold Bitcoin:
🚪 Expect: Wide-ranging sideways volatility (volatile market).
🎯 Strategy: Fast speculation (Scalping) and avoiding holding.
👀 If Saylor sells:
🛑 Predictions: A deep collapse of 70% (total destruction).
Is Michael Saylor the only one keeping us from the bottom? 👇
DYOR $BTC #btc
Epstein's public relations network described Michael Saylor as follows:
"Saylor is a complete freak. He has no personal charm, like a zombie on drugs."
"He clearly does not fit in with others, he completely lacks social etiquette, I even feel that taking his money wouldn't help improve his image."
Without Saylor, today's Bitcoin price might not be 77,000, but rather 45,000 or even lower.
This world needs more Saylor, not more Epstein.
#爱泼斯坦案烧向币圈 #btc
"Saylor is a complete freak. He has no personal charm, like a zombie on drugs."
"He clearly does not fit in with others, he completely lacks social etiquette, I even feel that taking his money wouldn't help improve his image."
Without Saylor, today's Bitcoin price might not be 77,000, but rather 45,000 or even lower.
This world needs more Saylor, not more Epstein.
#爱泼斯坦案烧向币圈 #btc
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