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Ghosts of the past or a new era?
The four-year dilemma haunts a #bitcoin desperate for its ground
Between cyclical memory and institutional maturity
The crypto market is at a psychological crossroads. While the price of #BTC has plummeted 40% from its October high, the research firm K33 sends a message of caution but with a hint of hope: although the ghost of the "four-year cycle" (2018, 2022) has returned to scare investors, the fundamentals suggest that this time the abyss will not be as deep.
The return of bearish "echoes": Vetle Lunde, head of research at K33, admits that recent price action bears "disturbing similarities" to the collapses of 2018 and 2022. Market psychology is winning the battle against fundamentals in the short term.
"This time it's different" (really): Unlike 2022, the market is not facing a massive deleveraging crisis (with no traces of disasters like #FTX or #Terra Luna). Additionally, we have more flexible interest rates and regulated institutional adoption that did not exist before. K33 does not foresee an 80% drop as in past cycles.
Signs of capitulation in sight: On February 2, trading volume was recorded in the 90th percentile (over $8 billion) and a wave of $1.8 billion in liquidations, indicators that historically tend to precede a reversal or the formation of a bottom.
Critical support levels:
$74,000: The most important psychological and technical support at this moment.
$69,000: The next level if the previous one gives way (2021 high).
$58,000: The worst-case scenario, aligned with the 200-week moving average.
For K33, current prices represent attractive entry levels for those looking long-term. The firm maintains that, with a flat performance over the last two years, there is no real urgency to sell for veteran holders.
#CryptoNews
$BTC
The four-year dilemma haunts a #bitcoin desperate for its ground
Between cyclical memory and institutional maturity
The crypto market is at a psychological crossroads. While the price of #BTC has plummeted 40% from its October high, the research firm K33 sends a message of caution but with a hint of hope: although the ghost of the "four-year cycle" (2018, 2022) has returned to scare investors, the fundamentals suggest that this time the abyss will not be as deep.
The return of bearish "echoes": Vetle Lunde, head of research at K33, admits that recent price action bears "disturbing similarities" to the collapses of 2018 and 2022. Market psychology is winning the battle against fundamentals in the short term.
"This time it's different" (really): Unlike 2022, the market is not facing a massive deleveraging crisis (with no traces of disasters like #FTX or #Terra Luna). Additionally, we have more flexible interest rates and regulated institutional adoption that did not exist before. K33 does not foresee an 80% drop as in past cycles.
Signs of capitulation in sight: On February 2, trading volume was recorded in the 90th percentile (over $8 billion) and a wave of $1.8 billion in liquidations, indicators that historically tend to precede a reversal or the formation of a bottom.
Critical support levels:
$74,000: The most important psychological and technical support at this moment.
$69,000: The next level if the previous one gives way (2021 high).
$58,000: The worst-case scenario, aligned with the 200-week moving average.
For K33, current prices represent attractive entry levels for those looking long-term. The firm maintains that, with a flat performance over the last two years, there is no real urgency to sell for veteran holders.
#CryptoNews
$BTC
El_Rengo_73:
El btc se va a 42k
🚨 THE FED NARRATIVE HAS CHANGED — HERE’S WHAT TO DO NEXT 🚨
the game has shifted. With Kevin Warsh stepping in as the new Fed Chair, the tone is noticeably more crypto-friendly. Policy changes won’t happen overnight, but the direction is clear — and markets move on direction, not headlines.
the $10 trillion that exited markets didn’t vanish into thin air. Capital never disappears. It rotates. And sooner or later, it flows back into risk assets.
so what’s the smart move now?
❌ don’t act emotionally.
❌ don’t deploy all your capital at once.
✅ buy in parts. Build smart.
1️⃣ $BTC & $ETH — Your foundation
2️⃣ top Alts — BNB, SOL, XRP, LINK
3️⃣ safety hedge — $PAXG & KAG (Gold & silver exposure)
yes, markets may stay red. Volatility may increase just to shake out weak hands. Bitcoin could dip below $60K, and SOL below $55. that’s not fear — that’s opportunity.
if you’re holding cash, stay calm and DCA patiently. Improve your averages instead of chasing pumps.
this is the phase where conviction is built — and rewards come later.
buy, hold, and give it time.
⚠️ always do your own research. Remember luna and FTX.
I’m not a financial advisor — just sharing perspective.
Patience now. Payoff later. 💎📈#FTX #DCAStrategy #FedChair #TrumpEndsShutdown #TrumpProCrypto
the game has shifted. With Kevin Warsh stepping in as the new Fed Chair, the tone is noticeably more crypto-friendly. Policy changes won’t happen overnight, but the direction is clear — and markets move on direction, not headlines.
the $10 trillion that exited markets didn’t vanish into thin air. Capital never disappears. It rotates. And sooner or later, it flows back into risk assets.
so what’s the smart move now?
❌ don’t act emotionally.
❌ don’t deploy all your capital at once.
✅ buy in parts. Build smart.
1️⃣ $BTC & $ETH — Your foundation
2️⃣ top Alts — BNB, SOL, XRP, LINK
3️⃣ safety hedge — $PAXG & KAG (Gold & silver exposure)
yes, markets may stay red. Volatility may increase just to shake out weak hands. Bitcoin could dip below $60K, and SOL below $55. that’s not fear — that’s opportunity.
if you’re holding cash, stay calm and DCA patiently. Improve your averages instead of chasing pumps.
this is the phase where conviction is built — and rewards come later.
buy, hold, and give it time.
⚠️ always do your own research. Remember luna and FTX.
I’m not a financial advisor — just sharing perspective.
Patience now. Payoff later. 💎📈#FTX #DCAStrategy #FedChair #TrumpEndsShutdown #TrumpProCrypto
🚨 INCREASING PROBABILITIES $CHESS
The probabilities that Donald Trump will pardon Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) this year jump from 5% to 21%.
This is not a rumor.
It is a real change in political-legal market expectations.$ARC
📊 What this movement means: • The FTX issue is back on the political radar
• The pardon is no longer considered "impossible"
• The market begins to discount alternative scenarios
• Regulatory uncertainty in crypto increases $OG
Important:
In markets, changes in probability matter more than certainties.
#BreakingNews #CryptoNews #FTX #SBF #Politics
The probabilities that Donald Trump will pardon Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) this year jump from 5% to 21%.
This is not a rumor.
It is a real change in political-legal market expectations.$ARC
📊 What this movement means: • The FTX issue is back on the political radar
• The pardon is no longer considered "impossible"
• The market begins to discount alternative scenarios
• Regulatory uncertainty in crypto increases $OG
Important:
In markets, changes in probability matter more than certainties.
#BreakingNews #CryptoNews #FTX #SBF #Politics
🚨 BREAKING – FTX CASE
FTX users have reached a proposed agreement with the Fenwick & West office in the fraud-related process.
The move may accelerate compensations and unlock another chapter of the FTX collapse.
#FTX #Lawsuit #Markets #Blockchainl
$FTT
FTX users have reached a proposed agreement with the Fenwick & West office in the fraud-related process.
The move may accelerate compensations and unlock another chapter of the FTX collapse.
#FTX #Lawsuit #Markets #Blockchainl
$FTT
#BTC #ETH #FUNDINGRATE #EXCHANGE #BINANCE #FTX
FUNDING RATES FOR PERPETUAL SWAP
🔸️ All quoted rates are for 8 hours; The rates #FTX e #dYdX are multiplied by 8, as they are quoted in hourly rates. Positive funding rates suggest that speculators are optimistic and that buyers pay funding to short sellers. Negative funding rates suggest that speculators are pessimistic and short sellers pay funding to buyers.
🔸️PS:
📉Funding rates (0.01%) are black, it is neutral. Funding rates (below 0.01%) are green, it is optimistic.
📈Funding rates (above 0.01%) are red, it is bearish. The stronger the bearish or bullish sentiment, the darker the color.
$BTC
FUNDING RATES FOR PERPETUAL SWAP
🔸️ All quoted rates are for 8 hours; The rates #FTX e #dYdX are multiplied by 8, as they are quoted in hourly rates. Positive funding rates suggest that speculators are optimistic and that buyers pay funding to short sellers. Negative funding rates suggest that speculators are pessimistic and short sellers pay funding to buyers.
🔸️PS:
📉Funding rates (0.01%) are black, it is neutral. Funding rates (below 0.01%) are green, it is optimistic.
📈Funding rates (above 0.01%) are red, it is bearish. The stronger the bearish or bullish sentiment, the darker the color.
$BTC
BREAKING: Odds Trump pardons SBF this year surge from 5% to 21% on Kalshi
Will $FTT come back to the prime era?
#FTX #TrendingTopic
Will $FTT come back to the prime era?
#FTX #TrendingTopic
🚨 SBF PARDON ODDS SKYROCKET! 🚨
The narrative has shifted HARD on $SBF. Odds just jumped from 5% to a massive 21% on Kalshi. This changes EVERYTHING for the $FTX ecosystem.
Will $FTT see a massive resurgence now? The market is waking up to this possibility. Prepare for volatility.
#CryptoNews #FTX #SBF #Altseason 📈
The narrative has shifted HARD on $SBF. Odds just jumped from 5% to a massive 21% on Kalshi. This changes EVERYTHING for the $FTX ecosystem.
Will $FTT see a massive resurgence now? The market is waking up to this possibility. Prepare for volatility.
#CryptoNews #FTX #SBF #Altseason 📈
FTX SETTLEMENT CONFIRMED $FENWICKA MAJOR WIN FOR FTX USERS. The legal battle with Fenwick & West is OVER. A settlement is coming. Formal agreement submission scheduled for February 27th. Court approval pending. The terms remain undisclosed. This lawsuit alleged key assistance in FTX's fraudulent structure. Justice is being served. Don't miss this pivotal moment.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
#FTX #CryptoNews #Settlement ⚖️
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
#FTX #CryptoNews #Settlement ⚖️
UPDATE: $ZK
The next FTX distribution is expected on March 31, according to Sunil.
Market impact may extend across related assets like $FRAX and $ARDR . 👀
Stay alert — volatility could pick up. 🚀
#CryptoNews #FTX #ZK #frax #CryptoVirk
The next FTX distribution is expected on March 31, according to Sunil.
Market impact may extend across related assets like $FRAX and $ARDR . 👀
Stay alert — volatility could pick up. 🚀
#CryptoNews #FTX #ZK #frax #CryptoVirk
🚨 BREAKING UPDATE: $ZK 🚨
Per Sunil, the next FTX distribution is expected on March 31st 👀
Stay alert — volatility could spike around this date.
Also keep an eye on $FRAX & $ARDR 👁️📊
#CryptoUpdate #FTX #ZK #Altcoins
Per Sunil, the next FTX distribution is expected on March 31st 👀
Stay alert — volatility could spike around this date.
Also keep an eye on $FRAX & $ARDR 👁️📊
#CryptoUpdate #FTX #ZK #Altcoins
BTC
Holding
Cumulative PNL
+2.40%
Feed-Creator-85a2f69aa:
还能涨不，不涨我就做空，涨我就做多。站上0.03做多，跌破0.027做空
🚨 FTX DISTRIBUTION WINDOW IMMINENT! 🚨
The next wave of $FTX asset distribution is locked in.
Mark your calendars now. This is the critical date for liquidity movement.
Follow immediately for real-time market intelligence updates. Don't get left behind.
#FTX #CryptoNews #Distribution #MarketUpdate 📈
The next wave of $FTX asset distribution is locked in.
Mark your calendars now. This is the critical date for liquidity movement.
Follow immediately for real-time market intelligence updates. Don't get left behind.
#FTX #CryptoNews #Distribution #MarketUpdate 📈
🚨 FTX DISTRIBUTION WINDOW SLAMMING SHUT 🚨
Sunil confirms the next major FTX distribution event is locked in.
Mark your calendars: March 31st is the date. This moves significant capital. Pay attention to market reaction.
Follow now for daily market intelligence you cannot afford to miss.
#FTX #CryptoNews #MarketUpdate #Distribution 📈
Sunil confirms the next major FTX distribution event is locked in.
Mark your calendars: March 31st is the date. This moves significant capital. Pay attention to market reaction.
Follow now for daily market intelligence you cannot afford to miss.
#FTX #CryptoNews #MarketUpdate #Distribution 📈
FTX DISTRIBUTION IMMINENT. Prepare for SHOCKWAVES.
Sunil confirms the next FTX distribution is locked for March 31. This is NOT a drill. The market will react. Get ready. Position yourself now. This is your last chance to prepare for the fallout.
DYOR.
#FTX #CryptoNews #MarketUpdate 💥
Sunil confirms the next FTX distribution is locked for March 31. This is NOT a drill. The market will react. Get ready. Position yourself now. This is your last chance to prepare for the fallout.
DYOR.
#FTX #CryptoNews #MarketUpdate 💥
FTX Creditor Representative: Next Round of Fund Distribution Expected to Take Place on March 31
#FTX $FTX#Write2Earn
FTX Creditor Rep: Next Distribution Eyed for March 31; Disputed Reserve Down $2.2B FTX creditor representative Sunil said in a Feb. 1 post on X that the exchange’s next round of fund distributions is expected on March 31. Total reconciled claims currently stand at approximately $9.6 billion, broken down as: - ~$7.8 billion for claims under $50,000; - ~$78 billion for claims over $50,000; - ~$1 billion for non-client claims. Sunil also noted the disputed reserve fund has shrunk by roughly $2.2 billion. If an additional ~$2 billion is distributed later, claims over $50,000 could receive an extra ~$1.7 billion in compensation. Overall, FTX’s creditor recovery process continues to advance, with future distribution pace tied to resolving disputed claims and asset realization progress.
FTX Creditor Rep: Next Distribution Eyed for March 31; Disputed Reserve Down $2.2B FTX creditor representative Sunil said in a Feb. 1 post on X that the exchange’s next round of fund distributions is expected on March 31. Total reconciled claims currently stand at approximately $9.6 billion, broken down as: - ~$7.8 billion for claims under $50,000; - ~$78 billion for claims over $50,000; - ~$1 billion for non-client claims. Sunil also noted the disputed reserve fund has shrunk by roughly $2.2 billion. If an additional ~$2 billion is distributed later, claims over $50,000 could receive an extra ~$1.7 billion in compensation. Overall, FTX’s creditor recovery process continues to advance, with future distribution pace tied to resolving disputed claims and asset realization progress.
🔥 SBF PRAISES TRUMP — IS A PARDON PLAY UNDERWAY? 👀⚖️
This just got interesting.
FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried, once one of crypto’s biggest political donors on the other side of the aisle, is now publicly praising President Donald Trump, saying Trump would be “good for crypto.”
⏰ Timing matters: • Comes days after Caroline Ellison — the star witness who testified against SBF — was released from custody
• SBF remains convicted and facing a long sentence
• Trump is the only modern U.S. president with a history of high-profile crypto-friendly pardons & commutations
🧩 Why markets are connecting dots • Public praise ≠ coincidence in political strategy
• Pardons are executive power — not courts
• Trump has shown willingness to defy institutions and rewrite narratives
💭 Speculation heating up Is this: • A genuine political shift?
• Reputation rehab?
• Or a calculated signal aimed straight at a potential Trump pardon?
📌 Reality check There is no confirmation of a pardon request — yet.
But in politics and markets, signals often come before actions.
⚠️ One thing is clear:
SBF is no longer fighting the system — he may be trying to align with the man who can override it.
$BTC
$ETH
#SBF #FTX #Trump #CryptoPolitics #PardonWatch
Follow RJCryptoX for real-time alerts.
FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried, once one of crypto’s biggest political donors on the other side of the aisle, is now publicly praising President Donald Trump, saying Trump would be “good for crypto.”
⏰ Timing matters: • Comes days after Caroline Ellison — the star witness who testified against SBF — was released from custody
• SBF remains convicted and facing a long sentence
• Trump is the only modern U.S. president with a history of high-profile crypto-friendly pardons & commutations
🧩 Why markets are connecting dots • Public praise ≠ coincidence in political strategy
• Pardons are executive power — not courts
• Trump has shown willingness to defy institutions and rewrite narratives
💭 Speculation heating up Is this: • A genuine political shift?
• Reputation rehab?
• Or a calculated signal aimed straight at a potential Trump pardon?
📌 Reality check There is no confirmation of a pardon request — yet.
But in politics and markets, signals often come before actions.
⚠️ One thing is clear:
SBF is no longer fighting the system — he may be trying to align with the man who can override it.
$BTC
$ETH
#SBF #FTX #Trump #CryptoPolitics #PardonWatch
Follow RJCryptoX for real-time alerts.
FTX DISTRIBUTION IMMINENT! MARCH 31 DEADLINE LOOMS $FTXMassive recovery incoming. The next FTX payout is LOCKED for March 31. Reconciled claims hit $9.6 billion. Over $7.8 billion is earmarked for smaller claims. Larger claims over $50k are set to receive a significant boost. The disputed reserve fund has shrunk by $2.2 billion. Another $2Z billion distribution could unlock an additional $1.7 billion for larger claimants. This recovery is accelerating. Don't miss out on what's coming.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
#FTX #CryptoRecovery #Distribution #FUD 🚀
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
#FTX #CryptoRecovery #Distribution #FUD 🚀
FTX RECOVERY EXPLOSION CONFIRMED
FTX creditors are getting paid. March 31st is the date. Billions are moving. Claims under $50k get $7.8 billion. Larger claims see $78 billion injected. Disputed funds are shrinking fast. Another $2Z billion distribution could unlock $1.7 billion more for big holders. The FTX recovery is accelerating. Don't miss this massive shift.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice.
#FTX #CryptoRecovery #MarketUpdate 🚀
FTX creditors are getting paid. March 31st is the date. Billions are moving. Claims under $50k get $7.8 billion. Larger claims see $78 billion injected. Disputed funds are shrinking fast. Another $2Z billion distribution could unlock $1.7 billion more for big holders. The FTX recovery is accelerating. Don't miss this massive shift.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice.
#FTX #CryptoRecovery #MarketUpdate 🚀
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