tarrif

Two major US events are hitting almost back-to-back, and both can quickly change how markets price growth, recession risk, and rate cuts.
First: The US Supreme Court tariff ruling.
At 10:00 am ET, the Supreme Court will decide whether Trump tariffs are legal.
Markets are pricing roughly a 77% chance that the Court rules them illegal.
If that happens, the US government may need to refund a large portion of the $600B+ that is already collected from tariffs.
Even if tariffs are struck down, the President still has other legal tools to impose it, but those tools are slower, weaker, and less predictable.
The bigger risk is sentiment, as markets currently treat tariffs as supportive.
Any ruling against the tariffs means the market could start to price in the downside move, which will be bad for the crypto markets too.
Second: US unemployment data at 8:30 am ET.
Markets expect unemployment at 4.5%, down slightly from 4.6%.
If unemployment comes in higher, it strengthens the recession narrative.
If unemployment comes in lower, recession fears ease, but expectations for rate cuts fall even further.
The chance of a January rate cut is already low, around 11%.
Strong jobs data would likely eliminate hopes for a January cut.
So markets face a tough setup:
1)Weak data = higher recession fears.
2)Strong data = tighter policy for longer.
These two events together make the next 24 hours a high-risk window for markets.
So, be prepared for volatility and manage your positions.
#TrendingTopic #TRUMP #Inflation #UnemploymentRate #tarrif
$BNB
$BTC

The cryptocurrency market has taken a small step back over the past 12 hours. Bitcoin (BTC) eased by roughly 0.5–1%, settling near the $118,000–$119,000 range. Ethereum (ETH) dipped 0.7–1%, while altcoins like Solana (SOL) suffered sharper losses of 3–4%. The move mirrors a broader “risk-off” mood sweeping global markets, with U.S. stock benchmarks like the S&P 500 and Dow Jones also sliding slightly.
1. Waiting on the CPI Countdown
Today’s focus? The U.S. July Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. Traders are bracing for a reading around 3.0% core inflation. A hotter-than-expected number could delay the Federal Reserve’s anticipated September rate cuts, dampening enthusiasm for high-risk assets like crypto. With another key inflation measure—the Producer Price Index—dropping later this week, many traders are trimming positions and avoiding aggressive leverage ahead of the news.
2. Liquidations Adding Fuel to the Slide
Leverage can be a double-edged sword. In recent hours, over $70–90 million in Bitcoin and Ethereum longs were wiped out. Open interest remains elevated, but funding rates have slipped, hinting at cautious positioning. Altcoins like SOL and ADA took bigger hits, with individual liquidation events topping hundreds of thousands of dollars.
3. ETF Flows Flip the Script
Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded $196 million in outflows in the latest session—marking four straight days of withdrawals. Ethereum ETFs, however, saw net inflows, suggesting institutions may be rotating capital. While not catastrophic, the shift has added to downward pressure and lowered liquidity.
4. Macro Jitters and Tariff Talk
Recent tariff announcements from President Trump—ranging from 10% to 50%—have stirred investor unease. While additional hikes are on pause for now, the link between tariffs, economic slowdowns, and weaker demand for commodities (and by extension, crypto) hasn’t gone unnoticed. Add in a stronger U.S. dollar, rising Treasury yields, and lingering stagflation worries, and you’ve got a recipe for short-term caution.
5. Altcoin Pain Points
The AI-focused crypto sector was the day’s biggest loser, sliding 7–9%. Tokens like Virtuals Protocol and Fartcoin saw double-digit losses. Supply pressures are also in play, with major token unlocks like Aptos’ $50 million release today and Avalanche’s later this week creating selling pressure. Meanwhile, Bitcoin dominance has climbed to around 60%, showing investors are retreating to perceived safety.
A Temporary Chill?
This looks less like a full-blown market reversal and more like an event-driven cooldown. With sentiment still hovering in “Greed” territory, volatility could pick up depending on today’s CPI print. History shows crypto often rebounds if inflation data plays nice with rate-cut expectations—but a hotter-than-expected reading could keep markets under pressure a bit longer.
For now, the crypto market is taking a deep breath, waiting to see if the CPI winds blow in its favor… or turn into a ststorm

#BTCDOMINACE #BTC走势分析 #Market_Update #tarrif #TrendingTopic