At 14:01 GMT on May 17, 2025, Bitcoin fluctuates between $94,000 and $104,000, according to Yahoo Finance, after regaining $100,000 on May 8. This 14% recovery over the last 30 days, according to Changelly, reflects renewed enthusiasm. Spot Bitcoin ETFs, leading the inflows, and companies like Strategy accumulating BTC are driving this momentum.
Key Factors Shaking the Market
The Trump Effect: A New Era for Bitcoin?
The Trump administration, in place since 2024, promises to make the United States the "global capital of cryptocurrencies." His appointment of Paul Atkins to the SEC, effective January 2025, is a strong signal, as noted by Cathie Wood of ARK Invest: "Bitcoin could become a global store of value by 2030." Rumors of strategic reserves in BTC fuel speculation of a $1 million price.
2024 Halving: Why Scarcity Drives Prices Up?
The April 2024 halving has halved miners' rewards, enhancing scarcity. Historically, after 2016 (+300% in 18 months) and 2020 (+600%), BTC could aim for $200,000 by the end of 2025, according to Statista.
The FOMC meeting on May 6-7, 2025, could announce a rate cut, boosting BTC in a liquidity-friendly environment, as anticipated by ARK Invest.
ETFs and Institutions: Bitcoin Becomes Mainstream
ETFs, led by BlackRock and Fidelity, are attracting record volumes, legitimizing BTC as a portfolio asset, according to Cointelegraph.
2025 Forecast: Towards New Heights or a Sharp Drop?
• Bullish Scenario: $200,000 to $250,000, thanks to adoption and scarcity (Tom Lee, Fundstrat).
• Moderate Scenario: $135,000 (±$15,000), with risk of correction (Peter Brandt, Factor LLC).
• Bearish Scenario: Possible pullback to $74,000, facing regulations or crises (Bitpanda). Source: CoinCodex.
3 Things to Know Before Investing in Bitcoin in 2025
1. High Volatility: Expect corrections of 30 to 50%.
2. Fed Monitoring: A rate cut could boost BTC.
3. Diversification: Don't bet everything on a single cryptocurrency.
Upcoming Events: Bitcoin 2025 in Las Vegas
From May 27 to 29, 2025, the Bitcoin 2025 conference in Las Vegas will gather leaders to unveil future trends. Stay tuned! Eventbrite.
Conclusion: Your Turn to Predict!
In May 2025, Bitcoin shines, driven by institutional adoption and the 2024 halving. With forecasts between $70,000 and $250,000 by December, the potential is immense, but caution is advised. And you, what is your prediction for BTC by the end of 2025? Share your thoughts in the comments or on X with #BTC2025! Follow Coinglass or the Journal du Coin on Telegram for real-time updates.
Warning: Cryptocurrencies are risky. Prices are volatile. Do your own research before investing.
Sources
• Yahoo Finance
• Changelly
• Statista
• ARK Invest
• Cointelegraph
• CoinCodex
• Eventbrite