Meteoric rise: Bitcoin will reach 500,000 dollars by 2030 and 1.6 million dollars by 2050.
New analysis of Bitcoin based on macroeconomic scenarios linked to the expansion of global money supply.
Price Analysis
Although the price of Bitcoin has recorded a new all-time high trading above 118,000 dollars, the value is 'nothing' close to the long-term potential of the cryptocurrency.
As sovereign debt increases, the risk of inflation persists, and institutional confidence decreases, investors are seeking assets that protect purchasing power in an increasingly unstable monetary environment, which may drive BTC.
Traditionally, gold has played the fundamental role of a lasting store of value and common reserve asset. Today, however, Bitcoin is emerging as a reliable and decentralized alternative.
In light of this, a new scenario-based analysis explores how the sustained expansion of global money supply may reshape future prices of gold and Bitcoin.
In our base case forecast, Bitcoin should reach 250,000 dollars and gold rise to 4,000 dollars by 2026, with potential for greater appreciation in the event of rising inflation and greater fiscal irresponsibility.
Bullish scenario for Bitcoin
The analysis models the valuations of Bitcoin and gold under three distinct macroeconomic trajectories – a deflationary case, a base case, and an inflationary case – using a structure that links their future value to the projected global money supply.
By forecasting the money supply and consulting historical data on how the total value of 'hard money' assets relates to the global money supply during various regimes, it is possible to estimate the value of the 'hard money' basket composed of Bitcoin and gold.
With an understanding of the future circulating supply of each asset, it is believed that by 2030 Bitcoin will reach 500,000 USD
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