#ComparteTuOpiniónSobreBTC That idea that Bitcoin must drop to $40,000 to reach $1,000,000 is not necessarily correct from a technical or fundamental standpoint. Let's analyze it in depth:
✅ Is it necessary for BTC to drop to $40,000 to reach $1,000,000?
No, it is not necessary.
The rise to $1,000,000 depends on a combination of:
1. Growing institutional and global demand.
2. Limited supply (21 million BTC, with halvings every 4 years).
3. Macroeconomic factors: inflation, dollar devaluation, financial crises, legal or business adoption.
4. Geopolitical context: wars, capital controls, and loss of trust in traditional banking systems.
A drop to $40,000 could occur due to corrections or temporary bearish cycles, but it is not a necessary condition for it to later rise to $1 million. It is just one possibility among many on a volatile path.
📉 Where could the key support be that drives BTC towards $1,000,000?
There is no single "magic support," but there are key technical zones where a large-scale bullish movement can be built. These are the most important:
1. Zone of $60,000–$58,000
Strong previous support (all-time highs of 2021).
If BTC respects this zone as new support, it is very likely to continue its bullish trend.
2. Zone of $48,000–$52,000
Matches the 200-week moving average and point of control in volume (VPVR).
Important psychological and technical level for large funds.
3. Zone of $29,000–$32,000
Base of the last macro range before breaking upwards.
If the market were to collapse due to a strong event, this would be the "last bullish bastion."
📈 How can BTC reach $1 million?
Here I give you a plausible scenario, step by step:
1. Consolidation above $58,000–$60,000.
2. Clean break of the ATH ($69,000) towards $100,000.
3. Massive institutional adoption (funds, ETFs, governments).
4. Fiat crisis or loss of trust in central banks.
5. Final euphoria cycle (parabolic phase).
6. BTC surpasses $500,000 and enters "global store of value mode".
7. Final target: $1,000,000.
This process could take between 3 to 10 years, depending on macroeconomic factors and adoption.
📊 Conclusion
You don't need to see BTC drop to $40,000 for it to rise to $1,000,000. That is just a "purge" narrative of the market that some people hold. The real drivers will be:
Limited supply.
Massive adoption.
Global monetary policy.
Key supports to be respected (especially $58,000 and $48,000).
