📊 CURRENT SITUATION:
Bounce from extreme oversold zones (1D BrainWaves -71, Weekly -52). Lower timeframes (15M-1H) BULLISH, but all higher timeframes (12H-Monthly) remain BEARISH.

🎯 TARGET:
$2,085-$2,100 — massive liquidation zone (shorts) + Previous Day High resistance. Price will likely sweep this level.

⚠️ WARNING:
- 12H: Bearish manipulation (4 bars ago), divergence forming
- Daily: BW -71 (extreme oversold), manipulation detected
- Weekly: BW -52 FALLING, exhaustion 76% (sellers tired but still dominant)
- Monthly: Below ALL major EMAs, momentum declining

🟢 BULLISH FACTORS:
✅ Extremely oversold (Daily -71, Weekly -52)
✅ Bullish divergence on 12H and Daily
✅ Lower TF exhaustion only 10% (fresh move)
✅ BrainWaves crossed zero on 1H
✅ Liquidation magnet $2,085-$2,100

🔴 BEARISH FACTORS:
❌ All higher TFs (12H+) BEARISH
❌ Weekly efficiency 48% (weak conversion)
❌ Monthly: 22% below EMA21, 18% below EMA50
❌ Daily manipulation 2 bars ago
❌ Price below all major VWAPs

💡 TRADING PLAN:

SHORT-TERM (1-2 days):
📈 LONG: $2,045-$2,052 → TP $2,090
🛑 Stop: $1,980
⚠️ Risk: Decent — trading against higher TFs
R:R: 0.6:1 (marginal)

BEST SETUP (2-5 days):
📉 SHORT: $2,085-$2,100 (sweep zone)
🛑 Stop: $2,120
🎯 TP1: $2,041 (Daily VWAP) — R:R 1.6:1
🎯 TP2: $2,010 (liquidation cluster) — R:R 2.7:1
🎯 TP3: $1,980 (support cluster) — R:R 3.7:1
🎯 TP4: $1,753 (Lower + PDL cluster) — R:R 11.7:1 (if breakdown continues)

✅ Confirmation for SHORT:
- Volume spike at $2,085-$2,100
- Bearish engulfing
- BW 15M/30M → FALLING
- RSI divergence

🔄 SITUATION CHANGES IF:
Close above $2,100 with volume → invalidates bearish thesis

⚖️ BOTTOM LINE:
This is a relief bounce within a larger downtrend — NOT a reversal. Wait for sweep, SHORT the rejection, target liquidation clusters below.

📌 Key Levels:
- Resistance: $2,061 (PDC) | $2,092 (PDH) | $2,128 (W-VWAP) | $2,228 (Fib 0.236 Monthly)
- Support: $2,010 | $1,980 | $1,753 | $1,385 (Fib 0.0)

🔗 ETH following BTC structure — both targeting liquidation sweeps before rejection

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