3 scenarios for $BTC , which one do you think will become reality?
1️⃣ Bullish Scenario:
After the halving, the reduction in supply combined with greater institutional adoption and ETFs could trigger a new bull cycle. Historically, BTC tends to seek new highs 12–18 months after the halving. In this case, it could renew historical peaks, supported by global liquidity and lower interest rates.
2️⃣ Sideways Scenario:
If interest rates remain high and the dollar is strong, the market may enter a prolonged consolidation. Bitcoin would oscillate in a wide range, with high volatility, but without a clear trend, repeating patterns seen between 2019–2020.
3️⃣ Bearish Scenario:
If there is a strong global recession or aggressive monetary tightening, risk assets suffer. BTC could correct 30–50%, as occurred in 2018 and 2022, before starting a new cycle.