Bitcoin is back in the “green zone” — could the bear market be nearing its end?
BTC has slipped back into the green band of the 4-Year SMA Multiplier model — and that’s more than random movement. This model compares price to its 4-year simple moving average. When Bitcoin trades at extreme multiples above it, the market is typically overheated. When price falls back toward the SMA, it has historically signaled undervaluation and the later stages of bear markets.
At the moment, $BTC is gravitating toward the 4-year SMA around $57,500. In previous cycles, Bitcoin has often consolidated around this level for months before a meaningful trend reversal unfolded. Not an immediate breakout — but a zone where long-term accumulation tends to happen.
No indicator is flawless. But when long-term technical levels align with weak sentiment and broader macro uncertainty, the signal becomes difficult to dismiss.
Are we quietly approaching the final phase of this correction before the next major cycle begins?
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