#XMR测试300美元支撑 $XMR
XMR Test $300 Support (Binance, 2026-02-20 16:20)
Current Price: $323.5 (24h $322.9–$339.3), 24h -5.4%, Approaching Key Support at $300.
1. Core Significance of Support Level
- $300 is the Lifeline: 78.6% Fibonacci + Historical Dense Trading + Psychological Level, breaking it opens up space below $230.
- Recently plummeted nearly 60% from a high of $800, $300 is the last line of defense for bulls.
2. Technical Analysis (Short-term)
- Daily: Broke MA50/MA200, RSI≈34 (close to oversold), selling pressure diminished but has not reversed.
- 4-hour: Consolidating between $320–$330, a pullback to $300 is highly likely to be tested.
- Key Levels:
- Support: $300→$290→$278 (30-day low)
- Resistance: $340→$380→$420 (Reversal Confirmation Level)
3. Contracts and Funding Situation
- Perpetual Contracts: Long/Short Ratio 0.75, Shorts dominate; Funding Rate -0.03%, Shorts are still paying.
- OI slightly declined, leveraged funds are withdrawing, no bottom-fishing signals present.
- On-chain: Orders clustered around $300, large players are positioning defensively.
4. Trading Strategy (View on $300 Support)
- Focus on defense, do not bottom-fish:
- If it stabilizes after a pullback to $300–$305, can lightly try long, stop loss at $295, target $340→$380.
- If it effectively breaks below $300 (daily close below), immediately follow up with a short position, target $278→$230.
- Do not chase shorts, do not hold shorts overnight: $300 can easily see a violent rebound, risk is extremely high.
5. Risk Warning
- A weakening market (BTC) will accelerate the breakdown; the privacy coin sector is overall sluggish.
- If $300 is lost, there will be no strong support in the short term, and the decline may exceed expectations.
In a nutshell: XMR is approaching the $300 life-and-death support; if it stabilizes, a light long can be taken; if it breaks, go short, strictly control risks with stop-loss.