📈 Overview
Based on the latest market data and moves from Michael Saylor, the signals are leaning towards a bullish trend for Bitcoin (BTC), although there are still risks of short-term corrections. The current BTC price is 115,554.93 USDT, close to a significant resistance area, along with fundamentals and market sentiment leaning towards long-term optimism.
📊 Detailed Analysis
1. Michael Saylor's Perspective and the Fundamentals
Holding a massive amount of BTC: MicroStrategy currently holds over 638,985 BTC, with an average purchase price of 73,913 USD, demonstrating strong long-term confidence.
Positive signals from institutions: The increase in BTC reserves from companies like ZOOZ and large funds reinforces Saylor's argument that BTC remains the top reserve asset.
Long-term impact: The trend of institutions shifting capital to BTC, along with many countries mining hash from excess energy, continues to boost upward momentum.
2. Technical analysis of BTC
Trend indicator: The MACD on the daily frame is still above 0, maintaining most bullish signals, but there is slight weakening in the 4H frame due to short-term profit-taking pressure.
Support - resistance zone: Strong support around 106,000 USDT, resistance at 118,000 USDT; if it breaks 118,000, the next target could be towards 125,000 USDT.
Momentum: The KDJ on the daily frame in the high zone (K=85) indicates that momentum is still good, but fluctuations may occur before further increases.
3. Market sentiment and capital flow
Long/Short ratio: Among both retail users and skilled traders, the Long ratio maintains around 1.9–2 times compared to Short, which is a signal of expected price increase.
Capital flow: Although the past 7 days have continuously recorded net outflows, this has not broken the long-term bullish trend, but signals that a technical correction may still occur to attract buying power.
Trading behavior: The volume of active buying at certain times has exceeded selling, especially in recent hours showing buying 'spikes', supporting Saylor's bullish perspective.
📌 Conclusion and strategy
The synthesis of factors, Michael Saylor's predictions are truly leaning towards a bullish trend for BTC, based on a massive buying position, institutional interest, and strong fundamentals. However, with a price of 115,554.93 USDT, BTC is still near a strong resistance zone, making it prone to fluctuations before breaking out.
The reasonable strategy for investors is to maintain a long-term position in line with the main trend, combined with risk management by waiting for corrections around support to increase the allocation. In the short term, if BTC decisively surpasses 118,000 USDT with high volume, the bullish trend may be triggered more strongly, opening up the possibility of reaching 125,000 USDT.