📌 Key points
BTC is currently at 112,052.35 USDT, having just experienced strong fluctuations after a liquidation of 1.7B USD but supported by cash flow from ETFs and large institutions like MicroStrategy, MetaPlanet.
Short-term resistance: 113,500 – 115,000 USDT; Strong support: 111,500 – 112,000 USDT.
Technical opportunity: MACD on the 4H and 1D frames are still in the negative zone but are forming signs of a slowdown in the downward trend; the Long/Short ratio >2.3 indicates that buying pressure on contracts remains dominant.
🎯 Opportunity
News (Advantage📈)
Large organizations continue to buy: MicroStrategy and MetaPlanet added thousands of BTC, bringing total holdings over 665K BTC.
ETF cash flow drives BlackRock to a new record, reinforcing short-term demand.
US policy proposals allowing BTC into 401(k) retirement funds create long-term expectations while supporting short-term buying sentiment.
Technical (Advantage📈)
Positive funding rate (0.00007) reflects the cost of maintaining buying contracts.
The Long/Short ratio across the exchange and VIP accounts >2.3 indicates that most traders lean towards buying.
The active buying volume in the last 4 hours > selling, the period 05:00–06:00 reached a ratio of 1.06, setting the stage for recovery.
🚨 Risk (Average🤔)
Spot capital flow over the past 7 days is strongly negative (-450M USDT on the latest day), indicating selling pressure from the spot market.
The daily MACD technical indicator has not crossed up yet, risk of retesting support at 111,500 USDT.
⚡ Action (Watch for increase📈)
Current pair and price
BTC/USDT: 112,052.35 USDT
Short-term strategy
Action: Buy when the price tests the support area.
Buying area: 111,500 – 112,000 USDT (accounting for 40% capital)
Stop loss: 110,800 USDT (20% capital)
Take profit: 113,500 USDT (50% capital), 115,000 USDT (50% capital)
Medium – long-term strategy
Action: Gradually buy in parts when the price is in the range of 111,000 – 112,500 USDT.
Stop loss: 109,500 USDT (30% capital), 108,000 USDT (20% capital)
Take profit: 118,000 USDT (40% capital), 125,000 USDT (60% capital)
Composite strategy with popular coins
With ETH, SOL, PEPE, SUI, XRP, DOGE, ADA: Can open small parallel buy positions when BTC holds support, prioritizing coins with strong cash flow and positive news to ride the wave with BTC, limiting purchases when BTC falls below 111,500 USDT.
📚 Summary
BTC is in a sensitive area but strong buying pressure exists; news and organizations buying in create a recovery foundation. If patient like 'sharks hunting', waiting in the area of 111,500–112,000 USDT, the potential to catch a rebound up to 115K is very clear — if timed correctly, the profit will be 'sweet as cane sugar'!