9.24 BTC Evening Market Deep Analysis and Strategy Adjustment

I. Market Structure and Trend Qualitative Analysis

Today, BTC on the 15-minute level shows a step-like breakout pattern, rather than a simple spiral rise. Its core features are: each pullback has not fallen below the previous round's 50% retracement level (Fibonacci key support), and it is accompanied by a moderate increase in trading volume, belonging to a "healthy pullback + volume breakout" strong bullish structure, with the certainty of the short-term upward trend enhanced.

II. Key Price Levels and Trading Strategy (Significantly Optimized)

1. Long Position Strategy (Core Adjustment)

- Precise Entry Interval: Adjusted to 112700-113000. The original lower edge of 112600 is too close to the daily key support, narrowing the interval can filter out oscillation noise and improve entry cost-effectiveness.

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- Defensive Logic: Maintain at 112100, but it needs to be clear — this price level is the "last defense line" for today's upward wave; falling below it will trigger a short-term trend reversal signal, and stop-loss must be executed immediately.

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- Target Level Upgrade:

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1. First Target: 113600 (previous high resistance level adjusted upward, original 113500 has no strong resistance)

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2. Second Target: 114200 (adjusted based on the daily level suppression, more aligned with the larger cycle resistance than the original target)

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3. Move Stop Profit: After breaking through the first target, move the stop-loss up to 113200 to lock in partial profits.

2. Risk Warning Supplement

- If the price stays above 113000 and consolidates for more than 30 minutes with shrinking trading volume, be wary of "false breakout" risks, and do not chase long positions for the time being.

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- Pay attention to the impact of US stock market opening period (21:30) in the evening; if the US stock market plunges sharply, tighten the stop-loss to 112300. #BTC走势分析