Bitcoin Enters the MVRV Bottom Zone — Analysts Say a Big Rally May Be Near
According to new data, CryptoQuant analyst @CryptoRover stated that Bitcoin's MVRV ratio has entered its historical bottom zone. The ratio, which is currently around 1.8-2.0, has always been a benchmark for undervalued periods of Bitcoin in past cycles. When this range dropped in the past, it did so with violent surges in the bull market. The chart posted in his post shows the metric between March 2024 and November 2025, with this area being an important accumulation zone.
History Proves that the Bottom Zone Causes Rallies
The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio is the market capitalization divided by the realized capitalization of Bitcoin, indicating the profitability of investors. Historically, an MVRV below 2.0 is a sign of undervaluation and values above 3.7 precede market peaks. Data from CryptoQuant and the work of analyst David Puell showed that the zone of 1.8-2.0 continued to align with previous market bottoms; 2015, 2019, and 2020 all fell within this range, which was preceded by multiple increases.
Current levels are aligned with the trends of 2019 and 2020.
In November 2025, Bitcoin is trading between $60,000 and $70,000, dropping nearly 45% from its 2024 peak of around $130,000. This decline brings Bitcoin back to the same zone of undervaluation seen before the 2019 rally to $14K and the 2020 move to $69K. Analysts believe this decline could be a potential accumulation bottom. This timeline is aligned with the 2024 halving cycle, emphasizing the likelihood of a rally at the end of the cycle in the coming months.
The community and analysts anticipate the breakout
Market sentiment is now cautiously optimistic. Analysts from CryptoQuant and community voices have commented on this decline as being the 'calm before the storm.' Past experiences indicated that MVRV lows of this nature are followed by 2x-5x rallies. If the trend continues, Bitcoin could test again $120K-$150K by mid-2026. However, experts warn that macroeconomic conditions and regulatory uncertainties could still trigger short-term volatility before a confirmed breakout.
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