🚨 FED CUT INTEREST RATES 3 TIMES – BUT MONEY STILL DOES NOT ENTER
👉 BTC ABOUT TO DUMP OR IS IT TRAPPING WEAK HANDS?
$$Bitcoin once surged to nearly 94,000 USD.
But big money is still on the sidelines, the market is still… afraid 😶
❓Why?
👉 Because "cutting interest rates" does NOT mean "cheap money returns."
The FED is technically easing, but tightening expectations. Powell made it very clear: there is no era of cheap money like in 2020, no massive QE, no rescuing the market at all costs.
📉 This makes traders afraid of a bull trap, institutions are not yet confident enough to go all-in.
Another factor being overlooked: BOJ (Bank of Japan).
The Yen is the source of global carry trade. Just a slight "hawkish" stance from the BOJ can quickly pull risk money like crypto. This is the "elephant in the room" that the market is extremely cautious about.
📊 US CPI is also a double-edged sword.
CPI decreases slightly → good for risk-on.
But decreases too quickly → FED worries about recession.
The current market does not know whether to be happy or worried.
So is there any scenario for Bitcoin besides a dump?
🔹 Main scenario (high probability): Sideway accumulation
BTC fluctuates around 85K–95K to wait for clearer macro data. This is a healthy scenario, not bad.
🔹 Positive scenario: Break up
If CPI stabilizes + BOJ is dovish + ETF inflow returns → BTC could surpass 95K, heading towards 100K+.
🔹 Negative scenario: Short-term wick
Could pull back to 80–82K if bad news comes, but it’s very hard to enter a bear market.
🎯 Lessons for crypto players:
• Don’t FOMO because of interest rate cuts
• Observe institutional money flows & ETFs
• This phase is for the patient, not for the impatient
📌 The market is not weak, it’s just waiting for "sufficient confidence."
Those who understand this phase are often the ones who go the farthest 🚀