⚠️ATTENTION⚠️
TOMORROW EXPIRES THE LARGEST AMOUNT OF OPTIONS IN HISTORY WILL IT AFFECT #BITCOIN⁉️
💥Japan's rate decision + PCE inflation + the largest options expiration in history = GUARANTEED VOLATILITY
🧨On December 19th, the famous “QUAD WITCHING” occurs (ONLY HAPPENS 4 TIMES A YEAR):
What is this and what happened previously?
👉The "QUAD WITCHING" is when 4 types of derivative contracts expire simultaneously, generating a WAVE of orders in the financial markets.
-Options on individual stocks
-Options on stock indices
-Futures on stock indices
-Futures on individual stocks
Why does it matter⁉️
🔹It is estimated that tomorrow's expiration involves $7.1 TRILLION in derivatives
▫️$5.0T in SP500 options
▫️$880B in individual stock options
🔹This event occurs 4 times a year: March, June, September, and December
🔹It usually amplifies volatility in stocks, indices... and also in #BTC
🧠Why does this AMPLIFY volatility?
▫️Institutional traders must close, roll (sell the expired contract and buy a new one for the next quarter) or hedge positions en masse
▫️This generates a tsunami of orders, especially in the last hour of the market (“witching hour”)
▫️On average, the SP500 tends to close in red on these days, and $BTC is not left out
📉Look at this KEY pattern in the $BTC chart:
▪️March 2025: -16.6% after the quad witching
▪️June 2025: -8.5%
▪️September 2025: -7.9%
👉Each expiration marked strong immediate drops, although BTC recovered afterward
📍Tomorrow, December 19th, this pattern may activate… and it adds the decision of Japan and the PCE inflation data