ENTRY (Aggressive Short): 2.680 - 2.710
(Enter short on rejection wick above or current price if red candle confirms)
TARGETS:
🎯 Target 1: 2.500 (-7-8%)
🎯 Target 2: 2.336 (24-hour low, -13%)
🎯 Target 3: 2.240 - 2.100 (-18-22% runner)
STOP LOSS: 2.827
(Above the 24-hour high, risk ~5-6%)
ENTRY (Long if strong bounce): 2.336 - 2.400 (retest low with buying volume spike)
Targets Long: 2.600 → 2.800 → 3.000+
SL Long: 2.200
📌 ANALYSIS (DETAIL):
The price is currently in a sharp correction after a parabolic pump from 0.3 to high 2.827 (+800%+), forming lower high and lower low — short-term bearish trend.
EMA9 death cross EMA21, price below both — dominant sell momentum.
Negative MACD histogram slightly widening, MACD line below signal — ongoing selling pressure.
RSI(14) at 47-55 (neutral), Stochastic & WR cool down from overbought — exhaustion after pump.
High volume on the dump candle (97M+ on big red) — confirms whale distribution/profit taking. OBV drops sharply.
Bollinger Bands widen downward after upper squeeze — bearish volatility active.
⚡ Additional CODE:
⚠️ Classic post-parabolic correction (pump & dump pattern)
🔥 High distribution volume — whales exiting
⏸️ If holding the low 2.336 with buying volume, minor bounce potential
🔄 Current continuation down probability ~65%
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:4+ for short target 2 (solid). Win rate probability ~65% for short (strong bearish confluence, already extended up).
Recommendations for VIP group:
Prefer short with tight risk — don't chase the low, wait for rejection or confirmation of a red candle.
Long only if there is a clear reversal at the low (buy volume spike + bullish divergence).
Leverage max 10-20x, quick partial profit — very volatile post-pump.
This is a good setup for a short swing today — potential 10-20% down if sell momentum continues. But be careful of fake bounces at the low.
Monitor volume & candle close 1h/4h. If there's a chart update, upload immediately — I adjust in real-time.
Safe profit at the beginning of the year, VIP! 🚀
Futures trading involves high risk. This analysis is based on current technical data. Conduct your own research and manage risks well.