Hello Sister Yi @Yi He ,

Excuse me for bothering you, I'd like to share a product direction that I believe is highly suitable for the Binance ecosystem and currently a clear market gap, for your reference.

Currently, on-chain prediction markets (like Polymarket) face a clear bottleneck: prediction events can only be published by the platform, and users can only passively participate.
This leads to limited event supply,单一 narratives, higher participation barriers, and also restricts the 'long-tail effect' of prediction markets.

I imagine a model for a 'prediction event version of pump.fun':
Core idea: Any user can submit a prediction event, but the on-chain listing, parameters, and settlement logic are centrally managed and reviewed by the platform, rather than being completely open and unstructured.

I. What problem does it solve?

  1. Insufficient supply of prediction events: Real-world events that are predictable happen every day, but platform capacity falls short.

  2. Users only trade, not create: Prediction markets are essentially 'information markets', yet users aren't empowered as information sources.

  3. Community narratives cannot be converted into trading depth: Numerous opinions on Twitter, Telegram, remain unconverted into tradable markets.

II. Product Format (Minimalist Version)

  1. Users can submit draft prediction events, for example:

    "Will ETH reach $4,000 within 7 days?"

    "Will a new token drop below its opening price within 48 hours?"

  2. Platform conducts parametric review

    Time

    Asset

    Settlement condition

    Risk level
    Approval → One-click generation of prediction market

    Platform takes a fixed percentage fee / event issuance fee

  3. Essence: Not 'unregulated free issuance', but 'user proposals + platform-standardized issuance'.

III. Why is Binance especially suited for this?

  1. Natural traffic pool: Binance is the world's largest 'price discovery gateway'.

  2. Binance has settlement authority: Oracle, indices, trade prices, credibility—these are all core elements of prediction markets.

  3. Deep integration of BNB / Points / Fees: Prediction ≠ Gambling, but rather the monetization of information value.

  4. A paradigm shift for Web3:From 'trading assets' → 'trading judgments'.

IV. Summary

If pump.fun enables everyone to launch tokens, then the 'Prediction Event Launch Platform' can empower everyone to launch judgments.

I genuinely believe this is a crucial step toward scaling prediction markets, and aligns very well with Binance's long-term strategy.

Thank you for reading. If this direction holds value, even just as internal discussion material, it's already sufficient.

Best wishes 🙏