#CPIWatch 🚨 MY CPI READ: POWELL HAS A WINDOW TO CUT 📉
Tomorrow isn't just another data drop. This CPI report is the "make-or-break" moment that either sends $BTC toward $100K or flushes it back to $80K. The market is currently paralyzed by uncertainty, and this is where blind trading gets expensive. 💸
After a deep dive into the December inputs, here is what the noise isn’t telling you:
📊 THE REAL INPUTS
• Shelter & Rent: Showing a clear, steady deceleration—perfectly following the expected lag.
• Core Goods: Remained mildly deflationary; the post-holiday "bounce" many feared simply didn't happen.
• Medical Services: Stayed controlled with no upside shocks.
• Energy: Some late-month upside, but not enough to move the needle on the headline number.
🔍 THE FORECAST
We’re looking at a December CPI near 0.30% m/m, with Core holding firm around 0.25%. This keeps YoY inflation in the 2.7%–2.8% range. It’s not "soft," but it’s definitely not "hot."
🔥 THE POWELL WINDOW
This data doesn't force a rate cut, but it removes the pressure. For Fed Chair Powell, removing pressure means regaining policy flexibility.
• Market Sentiment: Traders are clustered around the consensus—no one is truly positioned for a surprise.
• The Opportunity: A "clean, in-line" print that leans slightly cool could be the fuel for a massive risk-on rally. 🚀
🧠 BOTTOM LINE
This CPI report quietly opens the door for a 25bps cut. Don’t trade the headline; trade the internal data.
👇 WHERE DOES BTC GO TOMORROW?
🚀 $100K Moon Mission
📉 $80K Shakeout
↔️ Sideways & Boring
Drop your predictions below! ⬇️
Follow for clean macro reads—no noise, just alpha. 🔔
Live Market Snap:
BTC: $92,240.3 (+1.69%)
BREV: $0.3408 (-7.16%)
