📉 Is the Bitcoin Supercycle Breaking? | THE CASE FOR THE SHORT
While the "moon" crowd is celebrating $95,000, the smart money is looking at the cracks in the foundation. 🧩
Despite today's rally fueled by cooling CPI data and the CLARITY Act progress in D.C., the technicals and institutional warnings are flashing red for those brave enough to look. Here is why the "Short" side of the trade is getting crowded:
The "Broken" Cycle: VanEck just warned that the traditional 4-year halving cycle is officially broken. Institutional flows have replaced retail sentiment, making the top much heavier and harder to sustain.
Exhaustion at Resistance: We’ve seen a massive 3-day advance, but we are still well below the 2025 all-time highs. Momentum is slowing as RSI enters the overbought "danger zone."
Regulatory Buy-the-Rumor: Much of this week's pump is priced into the legislative hope of the CLARITY Act. If the Senate hits a snag, the "sell the news" event could be historic.
Macro Turbulence: With the DOJ investigating Fed Chair Powell, the "safe haven" bid is shaky at best. If the dollar regains strength, Bitcoin's $95k floor could turn into a ceiling very fast. 🏢💥
The play: Looking for a rejection at the $96,000 psychological level to confirm the downwa
rd trend.
⚠️ Disclaimer: Trading crypto carries high risk. Shorting Bitcoin during a breakout is for experienced traders with strict stop-losses. This is not financial advice.
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