$ETH
ETH is currently in a 'conditional strong' phase, with the market seeking direction at higher value levels, but its movement is highly correlated with Bitcoin (BTC), posing a risk of passive decline.
1. Short Strategy (more aggressive)
Around 3,380 - 3,400 USD (key extended resistance), and a bearish candlestick pattern on the hourly chart (e.g., upper shadow, evening star).
Action: Consider light-position shorting. (Suitable for short-term risk-takers)
· Key stop-loss: Set individually!
2. Long Strategy (more conservative)
Ideal entry: Wait for price to retest the key support zone and show signs of stabilization. Key levels to watch:
· 3,080 - 3,090 USD (daily warning line and structural support).
· 3,050 USD (stronger support).
· 3,000 - 3,020 USD (core strong support).
· Action: Enter light long positions near support levels, combined with bullish candlestick patterns.
· Key stop-loss: Set 30-50 USD below the support level based on entry point.
⚠️ Important Risk Warnings
1. Correlation Risk: ETH's movement is heavily influenced by BTC. If BTC breaks below the 90,000 USD level, ETH is highly likely to follow and break below the 3,080 USD support.
2. Technical Divergence: Some analysis indicates a top divergence signal on ETH's 4-hour chart, warranting caution regarding short-term correction risks.
3. Strict Risk Management:
· Always set stop-losses: A clear stop-loss must be pre-defined for any strategy.
· Trade with light positions: The market is at a critical juncture with potentially increased volatility; use lower leverage and smaller positions.
· Monitor breakouts: If price breaks above and holds above 3,150 USD, the short-term weak trend may shift.
#比特币2026年价格预测 #BTC