📊 US Unemployment Claims: Strong Labor Market Without Surprises

New US unemployment claims data came in better than expected — 198K versus a forecast of 215K.

📌 What does this really mean?

🔹 The labor market remains resilient

🔹 No signs of sharp economic slowdown

🔹 Immediate recession risks are lower

For the Federal Reserve, this is a signal:

proceed cautiously and avoid rushing decisions.

📌 How are markets interpreting this?

• Less fear of a "hard landing";

• More room for risk-taking;

• But no direct signal of "rates coming down soon".

👉 Therefore, the impact on Bitcoin and risk assets is indirect, driven by overall sentiment rather than immediate Fed policy.

Conclusion:

This is a stable macro backdrop, not a trigger.

Markets are looking at a series of data points, not just one release.

If you want to read macro without oversimplification or loud cause-and-effect claims — subscribe. Here we always unpack the context.

#MoonManMacro

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