📉 BTC drops to $37,000 — Is it reality or intimidation? Analysis of Ran Neuner's 'worst-case' prediction
Crypto Banter founder Ran Neuner expressed views that many are hesitant to discuss amid the current widespread optimism. While global stock markets are rising and commodities are in a supercycle phase, the cryptocurrency market is struggling.
Here is his 'bearish' logic:
Cycle magic: Historically, the peak of BTC bull markets usually occurs about 532 days after a halving (around October 2025, targeting $125,000). Brutal math: After each peak, Bitcoin typically drops by 70% to 80%. If this pattern repeats, we will return to the $37,000 range. Technical trigger point: When investor risk-off sentiment increases, the first target will be the 200-week moving average, around $57,000.
Is this a conclusion?
No. Neuner emphasizes: he remains bullish. But the difference between professionals and 'retail investors' is that they make a contingency plan.
🛡 Core message: Protect your capital from shrinking. If the market goes straight up (to the moon), you'll naturally make money. But if it drops to $37,000, only those who are prepared will survive.
Have you considered the 'worst-case' in your strategy? Do you think we will see a pullback, or will we continuously set new highs?👇
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoBanter #MarketAnalysis #BearishScenario
