As the U.S. Federal Reserve meeting approaches on January 27-28, 2026, the market anticipates decisions regarding interest rates. According to recent surveys, most economists expect to keep rates stable at 3.5-3.75%, after a reduction in 2025. This comes amid inflation of 2.7% in December 2025, which is above the Fed's target of 2%. Additionally, President Trump's statements in Davos about delaying trade tariffs led to a temporary rise in prices, but new threats regarding Greenland sparked volatility.
The impact on the market......
Stability in interest rates may support stability in the crypto market, as it reduces liquidity pressure. In 2025, interest cuts led to growth, but in 2026, persistent inflation may delay cuts, increasing volatility. Additionally, Trump's policies, such as his support for crypto legislation (like the Clarity Act), could enhance long-term confidence, but tariff threats led to a drop below $90,000 BTC recently. Events like the U.S. jobs reports this week may also have an impact, as the crypto market is linked to the macro economy.
Currencies that may be positively affected......
$BTC: As a reserve asset, it may benefit from government support like the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve proposal, especially with new legislation enhancing institutional adoption. If tariffs are postponed, it could rise to $98,000 as it did recently.
$ETH: With improved regulation (like the GENIUS Act for stablecoins), it could rise due to DeFi applications and asset tokenization, especially if bond yields decline.
Other currencies like $SOL : may benefit from the growth of Web3 if the Clarity Act passes, opening new markets.
Currencies that may be negatively affected......
$ETH and $ADA: If bond yields rise or new tariff threats emerge, it could drop by 5% as it did recently due to global trade concerns.
$XRP: Linked to international payments, it may be harmed by trade wars, leading to a sustained decline.
Small currencies like $DOGE: Sensitive to macro fluctuations, it may drop if inflation leads to tightening policies.
With a positive long-term outlook thanks to regulation, the market remains susceptible to short-term volatility. Remember, trading carries risks, and always do your own research. What do you think about the Fed's impact on $BTC? Participate in the poll below! Do you expect an increase $BTC after the meeting? Yes/No).