๐จ MACRO SNAPSHOT | FED SIGNALS IN PLAY ๐บ๐ธ
Markets just flipped gears after US jobless claims beat expectations, reinforcing one thing loud and clear:
๐ the US labor market is still strong.
๐ Rates Outlook (Live Pricing):
Markets are now pricing in a ~95% probability that the FED HOLDS rates at the Jan 28 FOMC โ no cut on the table (for now).
๐ฅ Why this matters:
A hold confirms that any easing ahead will be slow, cautious, and strictly data-driven.
That usually means: โข Short-term volatility โก
โข Selective rallies ๐ฏ
โข Capital rotating into assets with liquidity + relative strength
๐ And guess what?
Some markets are already front-running this shiftโฆ
๐ Live Price Watch:
โ showing early strength
โ momentum picking up
Smart money is positioning before the crowd notices.
๐ฌ Question for you:
Do you think the Fed holds longer than markets expect, or does volatility force their hand sooner?
#MACRO #FedWatch70 #Powell #LiquidityFlows #TrumpTariffsOnEurope