Neutra. Prediction markets reveal sentiment, not truth. Without strong verification, they become amplifiers of useful rumors like a thermometer, dangerous as a source of information.

Polymarket recently reported that Jeff Bezos advised young entrepreneurs to work regular jobs before starting their own businesses, a claim that Bezos has publicly denied. According to NS3.AI, this incident underscores ongoing concerns about prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi disseminating unverified or misleading information through social media. The spread of misinformation on these platforms includes politically sensitive topics and sports news, prompting questions about their reliability as they are anticipated to expand significantly.